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Interesting cube action 2

Posted By: Igor
Date: Tuesday, 19 November 2013, at 12:23 a.m.

In Response To: Interesting cube action 2 (David Presser)

Our redoubling window AtS is about 12--58%. We are about 2 pips worse than an even race (using Ward adjustments) with 71 vs. 65 (I gave us extra half a pip penalty for the empty five point). The point of last take for money would be 80, so 13 pips (between 67 and 80) cover about 28-29% of winning chances. Each pip is thus worth about 2.2%. They are worth a little more than average towards even races, so I'll guesstimate blue winning chances as 45%.

Looks like we are close enough towards the upper range of the doubling window for this to be a technically correct redouble. In practice, I'd hold the cube off against weaker opposition.

Messages In This Thread

• Interesting cube action 2
  David Presser -- Monday, 18 November 2013, at 5:39 p.m.
  • Interesting cube action 2
    ah_clem -- Monday, 18 November 2013, at 8:40 p.m.
  • Interesting cube action 2
    Igor -- Tuesday, 19 November 2013, at 12:23 a.m.
  • Interesting cube action 2
    HOMINID -- Wednesday, 20 November 2013, at 12:25 a.m.
  • Interesting cube action 2 - RO
    David Presser -- Wednesday, 20 November 2013, at 7:13 a.m.