[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Rollout Results

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Thursday, 21 November 2013, at 1:58 p.m.

In Response To: Mochy's Two Checker Plays vs Don Zampano (Paul Weaver)

Position 1. The position after the best play is shown on the right. Blue loses more gammons by hitting (32% vs 27%), but he wins more games (24% vs 19%) and he also wins more Gs (4% vs 2%). Blue's position after hitting looks scary, but his position after not hitting is, in fact, even scarier.





White is DonZampano

score: 0
pip: 132
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 159
score: 0

Blue is mochy
XGID=--BaB-C-B---dB-A-bbbb-b-C-:1:1:1:54:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 54

1.xgRollout115/11 8/3* eq: -0.737
Player:
Opponent:		24.20% (G:5.95% B:0.15%)
75.80% (G:32.48% B:4.65%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.748...-0.727) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 38 seconds
2.playedRollout115/6eq: -0.799 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		19.19% (G:4.21% B:0.11%)
80.81% (G:27.13% B:2.66%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.807...-0.790) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 18 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10





White is DonZampano

score: 0
pip: 135
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 150
score: 0

Blue is mochy
XGID=a-BAB-C-A--AdB---bbbb-b-C-:1:1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
White on roll, cube action?

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Position 2. Same comment as in Position 1 above. Your G losses go up by hitting, but you win enough extra games and Gs to compensate.





White is DonZampano

score: 0
pip: 152
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 173
score: 0

Blue is mochy
XGID=---aB-DaB-a-dD---aabbb--BA:1:1:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 51

1.xgRollout1Bar/24 8/3* eq: -0.417
Player:
Opponent:		33.26% (G:11.22% B:1.24%)
66.74% (G:30.61% B:3.55%)		Conf.: ± 0.027 (-0.444...-0.389) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 05 seconds
2.playedRollout2Bar/24 13/8eq: -0.529 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:		27.88% (G:8.12% B:0.56%)
72.12% (G:25.82% B:2.31%)		Conf.: ± 0.024 (-0.553...-0.506) - [0.0%]
Duration: 51.6 seconds
1 236 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 237 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10





White is DonZampano

score: 0
pip: 155
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is mochy
XGID=a--AB-DaA-a-dD---aabbb--C-:1:1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
White on roll, cube action?

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.