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Seven Rollout Results Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Thursday, 21 November 2013, at 2:13 p.m.

In Response To: First (__1ERROR1__)

Position 1. Does Blue have a double before the shake? Close call.





White is Player 2

score: 9
pip: 145
11 point match
pip: 141
score: 8

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---B-aDcD-a-bC-----bBbbb--:0:0:1:00:8:9:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 56.62% (G:17.21% B:0.69%) 56.54% (G:17.28% B:0.84%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 43.38% (G:9.80% B:0.43%) 43.46% (G:10.10% B:0.68%)
Cubeless Equities +0.199 +0.511
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.5180.009 (+0.509..+0.527)
Double/Take:+0.511 (-0.006)0.011 (+0.501..+0.522)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.482)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 1.3%
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:81.2%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 23 minutes 36 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 2. Checker play if Blue does not double at the score.





White is Player 2

score: 9
pip: 145
11 point match
pip: 141
score: 8

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---B-aDcD-a-bC-----bBbbb--:0:0:1:44:8:9:0:11:10
Blue to play 44

1.xgRollout18/4(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.696
Player:
Opponent:
58.48% (G:20.83% B:0.76%)
41.52% (G:9.47% B:0.67%)
Conf.: 0.014 (+0.683...+0.710) - [99.3%]
Duration: 4 minutes 11 seconds
2.Rollout113/5* 8/4(2)eq: +0.675 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:
58.01% (G:27.78% B:0.96%)
41.99% (G:10.31% B:0.78%)
Conf.: 0.010 (+0.665...+0.686) - [0.7%]
Duration: 4 minutes 31 seconds
3.Rollout120/16(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.642 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:
59.82% (G:15.02% B:0.58%)
40.18% (G:8.51% B:0.53%)
Conf.: 0.014 (+0.628...+0.656) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 52 seconds
4.Rollout113/5*(2) eq: +0.605 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:
57.38% (G:22.65% B:1.38%)
42.62% (G:7.35% B:0.45%)
Conf.: 0.014 (+0.591...+0.619) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 54 seconds
5.Rollout113/9(3) 8/4eq: +0.548 (-0.148)
Player:
Opponent:
59.27% (G:12.68% B:0.45%)
40.73% (G:5.84% B:0.30%)
Conf.: 0.014 (+0.534...+0.562) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 29 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 3. Checker play if Blue doubles at the score.





White is Player 2

score: 9
pip: 145
11 point match
pip: 141
score: 8

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---B-aDcD-a-bC-----bBbbb--:1:-1:1:44:8:9:0:11:10
Blue to play 44

1.xgRollout113/5* 8/4(2)eq: +0.421
Player:
Opponent:
57.72% (G:27.99% B:1.74%)
42.28% (G:11.41% B:0.86%)
Conf.: 0.006 (+0.415...+0.427) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 51 seconds
2.Rollout18/4(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.361 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:
58.22% (G:20.60% B:0.90%)
41.78% (G:9.52% B:0.68%)
Conf.: 0.006 (+0.355...+0.366) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 25 seconds
3.Rollout113/5*(2) eq: +0.356 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:
57.07% (G:22.57% B:1.73%)
42.93% (G:7.52% B:0.51%)
Conf.: 0.006 (+0.350...+0.363) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 22 seconds
4.Rollout120/16(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.339 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:
59.75% (G:15.08% B:0.60%)
40.25% (G:8.88% B:0.51%)
Conf.: 0.005 (+0.333...+0.344) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 13 seconds
5.2-ply20/16(2) 13/5* eq: +0.270 (-0.151)
Player:
Opponent:
56.19% (G:15.34% B:0.45%)
43.81% (G:12.33% B:0.32%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 4. Checker play for money. (Same play if cube is centered, if Blue owns cube, or if White owns cube.)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 145
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 141
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---B-aDcD-a-bC-----bBbbb--:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 44

1.xgRollout113/5* 8/4(2)eq: +0.440
Player:
Opponent:
58.10% (G:27.02% B:0.70%)
41.90% (G:9.58% B:0.36%)
Conf.: 0.013 (+0.427...+0.453) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 06 seconds
2.Rollout113/5*(2) eq: +0.392 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:
57.64% (G:21.72% B:0.62%)
42.36% (G:6.57% B:0.22%)
Conf.: 0.014 (+0.379...+0.406) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 01 second
3.Rollout120/16(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.391 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:
60.22% (G:14.90% B:0.45%)
39.78% (G:8.92% B:0.31%)
Conf.: 0.013 (+0.378...+0.405) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 31 seconds
4.Rollout18/4(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.375 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:
58.46% (G:20.63% B:0.46%)
41.54% (G:9.57% B:0.31%)
Conf.: 0.017 (+0.357...+0.392) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 14 seconds
5.Rollout113/9(3) 8/4eq: +0.299 (-0.141)
Player:
Opponent:
59.05% (G:12.89% B:0.35%)
40.95% (G:6.00% B:0.25%)
Conf.: 0.015 (+0.284...+0.314) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 10 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Position 5. DMP





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 145
1 point match
pip: 141
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---B-aDcD-a-bC-----bBbbb--:0:0:1:44:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 44

1.xgRollout120/16(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.190
Player:
Opponent:
59.51% (G:15.16% B:0.96%)
40.49% (G:8.18% B:0.64%)
Conf.: 0.005 (+0.185...+0.195) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 40 seconds
2.Rollout113/9(3) 8/4eq: +0.168 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:
58.42% (G:13.81% B:0.77%)
41.58% (G:6.03% B:0.42%)
Conf.: 0.005 (+0.164...+0.173) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 43 seconds
3.Rollout18/4(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.160 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:
58.02% (G:21.22% B:0.90%)
41.98% (G:8.97% B:0.68%)
Conf.: 0.005 (+0.155...+0.166) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 49 seconds
4.Rollout120/16(2) 8/4 6/2eq: +0.159 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:
57.95% (G:11.89% B:0.57%)
42.05% (G:7.81% B:0.26%)
Conf.: 0.005 (+0.154...+0.164) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 22 seconds
5.Rollout113/5* 8/4(2)eq: +0.156 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:
57.80% (G:27.73% B:1.65%)
42.20% (G:10.04% B:0.79%)
Conf.: 0.005 (+0.151...+0.161) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 23 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 6. Gammon Go.





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 145
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 141
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---B-aDcD-a-bC-----bBbbb--:0:0:1:44:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 44

1.xgRollout113/5* 8/4(2)eq: +0.718
Player:
Opponent:
57.53% (G:28.36% B:1.58%)
42.47% (G:12.10% B:1.07%)
Conf.: 0.008 (+0.710...+0.726) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 08 seconds
2.Rollout113/5*(2) eq: +0.600 (-0.118)
Player:
Opponent:
56.97% (G:23.02% B:1.54%)
43.03% (G:8.22% B:0.59%)
Conf.: 0.008 (+0.592...+0.608) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 21 seconds
3.Rollout18/4(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.571 (-0.146)
Player:
Opponent:
58.26% (G:20.30% B:0.71%)
41.74% (G:9.60% B:0.64%)
Conf.: 0.008 (+0.563...+0.579) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 43 seconds
4.Rollout120/16(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.496 (-0.221)
Player:
Opponent:
59.85% (G:14.97% B:0.53%)
40.15% (G:9.25% B:0.81%)
Conf.: 0.007 (+0.490...+0.503) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 28 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 7. Gammon Save.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 145
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 141
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---B-aDcD-a-bC-----bBbbb--:0:0:1:44:1:0:1:2:10
Blue to play 44

1.xgRollout113/9(3) 8/4eq: +0.039
Player:
Opponent:
58.58% (G:15.07% B:0.85%)
41.42% (G:6.65% B:0.30%)
Conf.: 0.006 (+0.032...+0.045) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 13 seconds
2.Rollout120/16(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.020 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:
59.86% (G:14.99% B:1.06%)
40.14% (G:8.88% B:0.25%)
Conf.: 0.007 (+0.013...+0.026) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 06 seconds
3.Rollout113/5*(2) eq: +0.010 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:
57.16% (G:21.67% B:1.19%)
42.84% (G:6.67% B:0.39%)
Conf.: 0.007 (+0.003...+0.016) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 31 seconds
4.Rollout113/9(3) 6/2eq: +0.009 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:
57.10% (G:13.94% B:0.54%)
42.90% (G:6.66% B:0.50%)
Conf.: 0.007 (+0.002...+0.015) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 00 second
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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