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Seven Rollout Results Posted
Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Thursday, 21 November 2013, at 2:13 p.m.
In Response To: First (__1ERROR1__)
Position 1. Does Blue have a double before the shake? Close call.
White is Player 2
score: 9
pip: 14511 point match pip: 141
score: 8
Blue is Player 1XGID=BaDcDabCbBbbb:0:0:1:00:8:9:0:11:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 56.62% (G:17.21% B:0.69%) 56.54% (G:17.28% B:0.84%) Opponent Winning Chances: 43.38% (G:9.80% B:0.43%) 43.46% (G:10.10% B:0.68%) Cubeless Equities +0.199 +0.511 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.518 ±0.009 (+0.509..+0.527) Double/Take: +0.511 (0.006) ±0.011 (+0.501..+0.522) Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.482) Best Cube action: No double / Take Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 1.3% Rollout details 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollerDouble Decision confidence: 81.2% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 23 minutes 36 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 2. Checker play if Blue does not double at the score.
White is Player 2
score: 9
pip: 14511 point match pip: 141
score: 8
Blue is Player 1XGID=BaDcDabCbBbbb:0:0:1:44:8:9:0:11:10 Blue to play 44
1. Rollout^{1} 8/4(2) 6/2(2) eq: +0.696
Player:
Opponent:58.48% (G:20.83% B:0.76%)
41.52% (G:9.47% B:0.67%)Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.683...+0.710)  [99.3%]
Duration: 4 minutes 11 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 13/5* 8/4(2) eq: +0.675 (0.021)
Player:
Opponent:58.01% (G:27.78% B:0.96%)
41.99% (G:10.31% B:0.78%)Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.665...+0.686)  [0.7%]
Duration: 4 minutes 31 seconds3. Rollout^{1} 20/16(2) 8/4(2) eq: +0.642 (0.055)
Player:
Opponent:59.82% (G:15.02% B:0.58%)
40.18% (G:8.51% B:0.53%)Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.628...+0.656)  [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 52 seconds4. Rollout^{1} 13/5*(2) eq: +0.605 (0.092)
Player:
Opponent:57.38% (G:22.65% B:1.38%)
42.62% (G:7.35% B:0.45%)Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.591...+0.619)  [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 54 seconds5. Rollout^{1} 13/9(3) 8/4 eq: +0.548 (0.148)
Player:
Opponent:59.27% (G:12.68% B:0.45%)
40.73% (G:5.84% B:0.30%)Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.534...+0.562)  [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 29 seconds^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 3. Checker play if Blue doubles at the score.
White is Player 2
score: 9
pip: 14511 point match pip: 141
score: 8
Blue is Player 1XGID=BaDcDabCbBbbb:1:1:1:44:8:9:0:11:10 Blue to play 44
1. Rollout^{1} 13/5* 8/4(2) eq: +0.421
Player:
Opponent:57.72% (G:27.99% B:1.74%)
42.28% (G:11.41% B:0.86%)Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.415...+0.427)  [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 51 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 8/4(2) 6/2(2) eq: +0.361 (0.060)
Player:
Opponent:58.22% (G:20.60% B:0.90%)
41.78% (G:9.52% B:0.68%)Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.355...+0.366)  [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 25 seconds3. Rollout^{1} 13/5*(2) eq: +0.356 (0.065)
Player:
Opponent:57.07% (G:22.57% B:1.73%)
42.93% (G:7.52% B:0.51%)Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.350...+0.363)  [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 22 seconds4. Rollout^{1} 20/16(2) 8/4(2) eq: +0.339 (0.082)
Player:
Opponent:59.75% (G:15.08% B:0.60%)
40.25% (G:8.88% B:0.51%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.333...+0.344)  [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 13 seconds5. 2ply 20/16(2) 13/5* eq: +0.270 (0.151)
Player:
Opponent:56.19% (G:15.34% B:0.45%)
43.81% (G:12.33% B:0.32%)^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 4. Checker play for money. (Same play if cube is centered, if Blue owns cube, or if White owns cube.)
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 145Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 141
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=BaDcDabCbBbbb:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 44
1. Rollout^{1} 13/5* 8/4(2) eq: +0.440
Player:
Opponent:58.10% (G:27.02% B:0.70%)
41.90% (G:9.58% B:0.36%)Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.427...+0.453)  [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 06 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 13/5*(2) eq: +0.392 (0.048)
Player:
Opponent:57.64% (G:21.72% B:0.62%)
42.36% (G:6.57% B:0.22%)Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.379...+0.406)  [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 01 second3. Rollout^{1} 20/16(2) 8/4(2) eq: +0.391 (0.049)
Player:
Opponent:60.22% (G:14.90% B:0.45%)
39.78% (G:8.92% B:0.31%)Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.378...+0.405)  [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 31 seconds4. Rollout^{1} 8/4(2) 6/2(2) eq: +0.375 (0.066)
Player:
Opponent:58.46% (G:20.63% B:0.46%)
41.54% (G:9.57% B:0.31%)Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.357...+0.392)  [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 14 seconds5. Rollout^{1} 13/9(3) 8/4 eq: +0.299 (0.141)
Player:
Opponent:59.05% (G:12.89% B:0.35%)
40.95% (G:6.00% B:0.25%)Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.284...+0.314)  [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 10 seconds^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Position 5. DMP
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 1451 point match pip: 141
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=BaDcDabCbBbbb:0:0:1:44:0:0:0:1:10 Blue to play 44
1. Rollout^{1} 20/16(2) 8/4(2) eq: +0.190
Player:
Opponent:59.51% (G:15.16% B:0.96%)
40.49% (G:8.18% B:0.64%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.185...+0.195)  [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 40 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 13/9(3) 8/4 eq: +0.168 (0.022)
Player:
Opponent:58.42% (G:13.81% B:0.77%)
41.58% (G:6.03% B:0.42%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.164...+0.173)  [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 43 seconds3. Rollout^{1} 8/4(2) 6/2(2) eq: +0.160 (0.030)
Player:
Opponent:58.02% (G:21.22% B:0.90%)
41.98% (G:8.97% B:0.68%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.155...+0.166)  [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 49 seconds4. Rollout^{1} 20/16(2) 8/4 6/2 eq: +0.159 (0.031)
Player:
Opponent:57.95% (G:11.89% B:0.57%)
42.05% (G:7.81% B:0.26%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.154...+0.164)  [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 22 seconds5. Rollout^{1} 13/5* 8/4(2) eq: +0.156 (0.034)
Player:
Opponent:57.80% (G:27.73% B:1.65%)
42.20% (G:10.04% B:0.79%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.151...+0.161)  [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 23 seconds^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 6. Gammon Go.
White is Player 2
score: 1
pip: 1452 point match
Crawfordpip: 141
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=BaDcDabCbBbbb:0:0:1:44:0:1:1:2:10 Blue to play 44
1. Rollout^{1} 13/5* 8/4(2) eq: +0.718
Player:
Opponent:57.53% (G:28.36% B:1.58%)
42.47% (G:12.10% B:1.07%)Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.710...+0.726)  [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 08 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 13/5*(2) eq: +0.600 (0.118)
Player:
Opponent:56.97% (G:23.02% B:1.54%)
43.03% (G:8.22% B:0.59%)Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.592...+0.608)  [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 21 seconds3. Rollout^{1} 8/4(2) 6/2(2) eq: +0.571 (0.146)
Player:
Opponent:58.26% (G:20.30% B:0.71%)
41.74% (G:9.60% B:0.64%)Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.563...+0.579)  [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 43 seconds4. Rollout^{1} 20/16(2) 8/4(2) eq: +0.496 (0.221)
Player:
Opponent:59.85% (G:14.97% B:0.53%)
40.15% (G:9.25% B:0.81%)Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.490...+0.503)  [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 28 seconds^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 7. Gammon Save.
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 1452 point match
Crawfordpip: 141
score: 1
Blue is Player 1XGID=BaDcDabCbBbbb:0:0:1:44:1:0:1:2:10 Blue to play 44
1. Rollout^{1} 13/9(3) 8/4 eq: +0.039
Player:
Opponent:58.58% (G:15.07% B:0.85%)
41.42% (G:6.65% B:0.30%)Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.032...+0.045)  [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 13 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 20/16(2) 8/4(2) eq: +0.020 (0.019)
Player:
Opponent:59.86% (G:14.99% B:1.06%)
40.14% (G:8.88% B:0.25%)Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.013...+0.026)  [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 06 seconds3. Rollout^{1} 13/5*(2) eq: +0.010 (0.029)
Player:
Opponent:57.16% (G:21.67% B:1.19%)
42.84% (G:6.67% B:0.39%)Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.003...+0.016)  [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 31 seconds4. Rollout^{1} 13/9(3) 6/2 eq: +0.009 (0.030)
Player:
Opponent:57.10% (G:13.94% B:0.54%)
42.90% (G:6.66% B:0.50%)Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.002...+0.015)  [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 00 second^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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