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Seven Rollout Results Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Thursday, 21 November 2013, at 2:13 p.m.

In Response To: First (__1ERROR1__)

Position 1. Does Blue have a double before the shake? Close call.

White is Player 2 score: 9 pip: 145 11 point match pip: 141 score: 8 Blue is Player 1 XGID=---B-aDcD-a-bC-----bBbbb--:0:0:1:00:8:9:0:11:10 Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 56.62% (G:17.21% B:0.69%) 56.54% (G:17.28% B:0.84%) Opponent Winning Chances: 43.38% (G:9.80% B:0.43%) 43.46% (G:10.10% B:0.68%) Cubeless Equities +0.199 +0.511 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.518 ±0.009 (+0.509..+0.527) Double/Take: +0.511 (-0.006) ±0.011 (+0.501..+0.522) Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.482) Best Cube action: No double / Take Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 1.3% Rollout details 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller Double Decision confidence: 81.2% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 23 minutes 36 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 2. Checker play if Blue does not double at the score. White is Player 2 score: 9 pip: 145 11 point match pip: 141 score: 8 Blue is Player 1 XGID=---B-aDcD-a-bC-----bBbbb--:0:0:1:44:8:9:0:11:10 Blue to play 44 1. Rollout1 8/4(2) 6/2(2) eq: +0.696 Player: Opponent: 58.48% (G:20.83% B:0.76%) 41.52% (G:9.47% B:0.67%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.683...+0.710) - [99.3%] Duration: 4 minutes 11 seconds 2. Rollout1 13/5* 8/4(2) eq: +0.675 (-0.021) Player: Opponent: 58.01% (G:27.78% B:0.96%) 41.99% (G:10.31% B:0.78%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.665...+0.686) - [0.7%] Duration: 4 minutes 31 seconds 3. Rollout1 20/16(2) 8/4(2) eq: +0.642 (-0.055) Player: Opponent: 59.82% (G:15.02% B:0.58%) 40.18% (G:8.51% B:0.53%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.628...+0.656) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 52 seconds 4. Rollout1 13/5*(2) eq: +0.605 (-0.092) Player: Opponent: 57.38% (G:22.65% B:1.38%) 42.62% (G:7.35% B:0.45%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.591...+0.619) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 54 seconds 5. Rollout1 13/9(3) 8/4 eq: +0.548 (-0.148) Player: Opponent: 59.27% (G:12.68% B:0.45%) 40.73% (G:5.84% B:0.30%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.534...+0.562) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 29 seconds 1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 3. Checker play if Blue doubles at the score. White is Player 2 score: 9 pip: 145 11 point match pip: 141 score: 8 Blue is Player 1 XGID=---B-aDcD-a-bC-----bBbbb--:1:-1:1:44:8:9:0:11:10 Blue to play 44 1. Rollout1 13/5* 8/4(2) eq: +0.421 Player: Opponent: 57.72% (G:27.99% B:1.74%) 42.28% (G:11.41% B:0.86%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.415...+0.427) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 51 seconds 2. Rollout1 8/4(2) 6/2(2) eq: +0.361 (-0.060) Player: Opponent: 58.22% (G:20.60% B:0.90%) 41.78% (G:9.52% B:0.68%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.355...+0.366) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 25 seconds 3. Rollout1 13/5*(2) eq: +0.356 (-0.065) Player: Opponent: 57.07% (G:22.57% B:1.73%) 42.93% (G:7.52% B:0.51%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.350...+0.363) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 22 seconds 4. Rollout1 20/16(2) 8/4(2) eq: +0.339 (-0.082) Player: Opponent: 59.75% (G:15.08% B:0.60%) 40.25% (G:8.88% B:0.51%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.333...+0.344) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 13 seconds 5. 2-ply 20/16(2) 13/5* eq: +0.270 (-0.151) Player: Opponent: 56.19% (G:15.34% B:0.45%) 43.81% (G:12.33% B:0.32%) 1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 4. Checker play for money. (Same play if cube is centered, if Blue owns cube, or if White owns cube.) White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 145 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 141 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=---B-aDcD-a-bC-----bBbbb--:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 44 1. Rollout1 13/5* 8/4(2) eq: +0.440 Player: Opponent: 58.10% (G:27.02% B:0.70%) 41.90% (G:9.58% B:0.36%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.427...+0.453) - [100.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 06 seconds 2. Rollout1 13/5*(2) eq: +0.392 (-0.048) Player: Opponent: 57.64% (G:21.72% B:0.62%) 42.36% (G:6.57% B:0.22%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.379...+0.406) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 01 second 3. Rollout1 20/16(2) 8/4(2) eq: +0.391 (-0.049) Player: Opponent: 60.22% (G:14.90% B:0.45%) 39.78% (G:8.92% B:0.31%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.378...+0.405) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 31 seconds 4. Rollout1 8/4(2) 6/2(2) eq: +0.375 (-0.066) Player: Opponent: 58.46% (G:20.63% B:0.46%) 41.54% (G:9.57% B:0.31%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.357...+0.392) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 14 seconds 5. Rollout1 13/9(3) 8/4 eq: +0.299 (-0.141) Player: Opponent: 59.05% (G:12.89% B:0.35%) 40.95% (G:6.00% B:0.25%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.284...+0.314) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 10 seconds 1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Position 5. DMP White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 145 1 point match pip: 141 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=---B-aDcD-a-bC-----bBbbb--:0:0:1:44:0:0:0:1:10 Blue to play 44 1. Rollout1 20/16(2) 8/4(2) eq: +0.190 Player: Opponent: 59.51% (G:15.16% B:0.96%) 40.49% (G:8.18% B:0.64%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.185...+0.195) - [100.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 40 seconds 2. Rollout1 13/9(3) 8/4 eq: +0.168 (-0.022) Player: Opponent: 58.42% (G:13.81% B:0.77%) 41.58% (G:6.03% B:0.42%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.164...+0.173) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 43 seconds 3. Rollout1 8/4(2) 6/2(2) eq: +0.160 (-0.030) Player: Opponent: 58.02% (G:21.22% B:0.90%) 41.98% (G:8.97% B:0.68%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.155...+0.166) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 49 seconds 4. Rollout1 20/16(2) 8/4 6/2 eq: +0.159 (-0.031) Player: Opponent: 57.95% (G:11.89% B:0.57%) 42.05% (G:7.81% B:0.26%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.154...+0.164) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 22 seconds 5. Rollout1 13/5* 8/4(2) eq: +0.156 (-0.034) Player: Opponent: 57.80% (G:27.73% B:1.65%) 42.20% (G:10.04% B:0.79%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.151...+0.161) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 23 seconds 1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 6. Gammon Go. White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 145 2 point match Crawford pip: 141 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=---B-aDcD-a-bC-----bBbbb--:0:0:1:44:0:1:1:2:10 Blue to play 44 1. Rollout1 13/5* 8/4(2) eq: +0.718 Player: Opponent: 57.53% (G:28.36% B:1.58%) 42.47% (G:12.10% B:1.07%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.710...+0.726) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 08 seconds 2. Rollout1 13/5*(2) eq: +0.600 (-0.118) Player: Opponent: 56.97% (G:23.02% B:1.54%) 43.03% (G:8.22% B:0.59%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.592...+0.608) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 21 seconds 3. Rollout1 8/4(2) 6/2(2) eq: +0.571 (-0.146) Player: Opponent: 58.26% (G:20.30% B:0.71%) 41.74% (G:9.60% B:0.64%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.563...+0.579) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 43 seconds 4. Rollout1 20/16(2) 8/4(2) eq: +0.496 (-0.221) Player: Opponent: 59.85% (G:14.97% B:0.53%) 40.15% (G:9.25% B:0.81%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.490...+0.503) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 28 seconds 1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 7. Gammon Save. White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 145 2 point match Crawford pip: 141 score: 1 Blue is Player 1 XGID=---B-aDcD-a-bC-----bBbbb--:0:0:1:44:1:0:1:2:10 Blue to play 44 1. Rollout1 13/9(3) 8/4 eq: +0.039 Player: Opponent: 58.58% (G:15.07% B:0.85%) 41.42% (G:6.65% B:0.30%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.032...+0.045) - [100.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 13 seconds 2. Rollout1 20/16(2) 8/4(2) eq: +0.020 (-0.019) Player: Opponent: 59.86% (G:14.99% B:1.06%) 40.14% (G:8.88% B:0.25%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.013...+0.026) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 06 seconds 3. Rollout1 13/5*(2) eq: +0.010 (-0.029) Player: Opponent: 57.16% (G:21.67% B:1.19%) 42.84% (G:6.67% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.003...+0.016) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 31 seconds 4. Rollout1 13/9(3) 6/2 eq: +0.009 (-0.030) Player: Opponent: 57.10% (G:13.94% B:0.54%) 42.90% (G:6.66% B:0.50%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.002...+0.015) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 00 second 1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• First
  __1ERROR1__ -- Wednesday, 20 November 2013, at 5:28 p.m.
  • Comment
    Paul Weaver -- Wednesday, 20 November 2013, at 5:42 p.m.
  • Seven Rollout Results Posted
    Paul Weaver -- Thursday, 21 November 2013, at 2:13 p.m.
    • Seven Rollout Results Posted
      __1ERROR1__ -- Friday, 22 November 2013, at 8:19 p.m.