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Rollout Result Posted -gnu rollout

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Friday, 22 November 2013, at 3:17 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout Result Posted (Paul Weaver)


Here's what gnu has to say. Apologies for the rough formatting.

gnu likes the same move, but according to it bar/18 is only a .022 error. Interestingly, gnu seems to think blue is only about 35% to win while XG puts the GWC at ~75%. Gammon rates are also widely divergent from XG.

These results are so different that I had to double check to see if I was looking at the same positions. I'm going to put this down to neither bot really understanding the position - I can't believe that there's that much difference between the plays, but I also have a hard time believing blue's GWC are as low as gnu's rollout says.

BTW, I probably would have played bar/18 otb without thinking about it very much.



 

GNU Backgammon Position ID: sIFVjSg0AAAIAA
Match ID : QQkOAAAAAAAA


1. Rollout bar/21 4/1* Eq.: -0.557
0.345 0.082 0.022 - 0.655 0.000 0.000 CL -0.206 CF -0.557
[0.004 0.002 0.001 - 0.004 0.000 0.000 CL 0.009 CF 0.014]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 732623095 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2. Rollout bar/18 Eq.: -0.578 ( -0.022)
0.337 0.083 0.027 - 0.663 0.000 0.000 CL -0.217 CF -0.578
[0.004 0.002 0.001 - 0.004 0.000 0.000 CL 0.009 CF 0.015]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 732623095 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]





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