I suppose 7 is too many. I'll break them up in the future....
Keene, you got 5 of 7. me too. fortunately the captain saved us from my "brilliance" and we avoided the double whopper I suggested for #1.
Position 1
fortunately I wasn't the captain and the captain had the good sense not to listen to me. I was afraid of the box making the 3 point anchor, leaping out when we opened and winning the race. wrong idea - for several reasons, not least of which are the return shots on opponent's 5 point.
        
 
         
 | | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 102 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 111
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=-BBBBaB-C-------cbaccbA-A-:1:1:-1:24:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 24 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | 20/16 9/7 | eq: +0.844 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 85.95% (G:17.51% B:0.52%)
14.05% (G:0.62% B:0.01%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | 9/7 6/2 | eq: +0.820 (-0.024) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 84.27% (G:19.12% B:0.72%)
15.73% (G:0.93% B:0.01%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller++ | 9/7 5/1* | eq: +0.779 (-0.065) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 83.33% (G:17.56% B:0.40%)
16.67% (G:0.93% B:0.02%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller++ | 7/3* 5/3 | eq: +0.680 (-0.164) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 79.23% (G:18.92% B:0.53%)
20.77% (G:2.87% B:0.05%) | |
|
| 5. | 1-ply | 20/16 7/5 | eq: +0.429 (-0.415) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 72.80% (G:8.55% B:0.38%)
27.20% (G:2.06% B:0.00%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Position 2 - XG mobile was way off on this. I dropped 5 recubes then almost lost a bet on the cube action (fortunately I had full XG with me)
   
   
| | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 49 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 88
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=-DEa-B-----a-a-----abcbbbA:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 79.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 81.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 20.06% (G:4.86% B:0.05%) | 18.88% (G:5.66% B:0.09%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.550 | +1.130 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No redouble: | +0.804 (-0.196) | ±0.007 (+0.797..+0.812) |
| Redouble/Take: | +1.037 (+0.037) | ±0.016 (+1.021..+1.054) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 |
| |
| Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass |
| Rollout details |
189 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 79662113
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 8 minutes 00 second |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Position 3
box took 3 and dropped 2. It does look scary... until you look at all the bad rolls coming, like the 3-5 the team rolled.
  
| | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 94 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 126
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=-BBABBBb---AbB-b--Accba---:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in XG Roller++ | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 56.91% (G:17.32% B:0.66%) | 57.03% (G:17.73% B:0.70%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 43.09% (G:17.54% B:0.28%) | 42.97% (G:17.04% B:0.27%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.140 | +0.304 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.246 | |
| Double/Take: | +0.078 (-0.168) | |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.754) |
| |
| Best Cube action: No double / Take |
| Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.4% |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Position 4
It looks ugly, burning the checker. but it's very correct.
 
| | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 157 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 135
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=a-bCBBC----------bbcbaCBb-:0:0:-1:23:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 23 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | Bar/23 4/1 | eq: +0.173 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.61% (G:20.00% B:0.83%)
46.39% (G:14.67% B:0.67%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | Bar/23 7/4 | eq: -0.317 (-0.491) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.93% (G:16.72% B:0.71%)
57.07% (G:22.51% B:1.30%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | Bar/23 8/5 | eq: -1.000 (-1.173) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 30.56% (G:9.91% B:0.39%)
69.44% (G:36.06% B:2.61%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Position 5
2 off. I think you have the theory right. but it's also tougher to clean the blot up on the deuce if you don't get hit.
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 111 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 45
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b-BCCB---------aa-cbbbb--:1:-1:1:64:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | 6/Off 4/Off | eq: +0.393 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.08% (G:27.26% B:4.36%)
38.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | 6/2 6/Off | eq: +0.362 (-0.031) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.96% (G:25.11% B:2.42%)
38.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Position 6
making our bar is correct. we had 3 opinions on this play in the chou and the correct one won out.
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 158 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 152
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b---CB-C-B-bCb--dAe----A-:1:-1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 61 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | 13/7 8/7 | eq: +0.378 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 68.03% (G:20.39% B:1.30%)
31.97% (G:8.29% B:0.31%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | 10/4 5/4 | eq: +0.329 (-0.049) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 65.73% (G:21.57% B:1.42%)
34.27% (G:8.97% B:0.36%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller++ | 24/18 10/9 | eq: +0.285 (-0.093) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 64.81% (G:17.96% B:0.71%)
35.19% (G:7.11% B:0.24%) | |
|
| 4. | 3-ply | 24/18 5/4 | eq: +0.235 (-0.142) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 63.45% (G:16.94% B:0.79%)
36.55% (G:8.01% B:0.21%) | |
|
| 5. | 3-ply | 24/18 8/7 | eq: +0.229 (-0.149) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 63.15% (G:17.13% B:0.79%)
36.85% (G:8.12% B:0.22%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Position 7
I misplayed this one. decided to clean up both blots. wrong.
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 112 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 129
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a-C-CCa--BAA----c-dbbBb--:1:-1:1:62:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 62 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | 12/6 3/1* | eq: -0.436 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 40.98% (G:11.36% B:0.20%)
59.02% (G:15.31% B:0.56%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | 11/5 3/1* | eq: -0.440 (-0.004) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 40.91% (G:11.38% B:0.20%)
59.09% (G:16.33% B:0.62%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller++ | 12/10 11/5 | eq: -0.473 (-0.037) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 39.55% (G:6.79% B:0.13%)
60.45% (G:9.17% B:0.27%) | |
|
| 4. | 2-ply | 12/6 11/9 | eq: -0.598 (-0.162) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 34.58% (G:5.36% B:0.13%)
65.42% (G:11.53% B:0.25%) | |
|
| 5. | 2-ply | 11/3 | eq: -0.630 (-0.193) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.70% (G:5.39% B:0.14%)
66.30% (G:12.73% B:0.32%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10