Running off the anchor is correct and by a large amount. I think this would be very difficult to find over the board. I also show XG++ for the same play in a money game, where the difference between the top two plays is even larger.
| | White is Player 2
score: 2 pip: 116 | 5 point match | pip: 117 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-a-CABCC----bA---bcbbBb-a-:0:0:1:64:0:2:0:5:10 |
Blue to play 64 |
1. | Rollout1 | 21/15 13/9 | eq: +0.084 |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.82% (G:15.61% B:0.66%) 50.18% (G:22.00% B:2.28%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.073...+0.096) - [100.0%] Duration: 42 minutes 12 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 13/9 7/1* | eq: +0.030 (-0.054) |
| Player: Opponent: | 44.99% (G:16.67% B:0.46%) 55.01% (G:16.79% B:0.83%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.017...+0.043) - [0.0%] Duration: 40 minutes 19 seconds |
|
3. | Rollout1 | 13/3 | eq: -0.067 (-0.152) |
| Player: Opponent: | 46.34% (G:11.17% B:0.31%) 53.66% (G:10.90% B:0.60%) | Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.078...-0.056) - [0.0%] Duration: 38 minutes 51 seconds |
|
|
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
| | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 116 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 117 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-a-CABCC----bA---bcbbBb-a-:0:0:1:64:0:0:3:0:10 |
Blue to play 64 |
1. | XG Roller++ | 21/15 13/9 | eq: -0.004 |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.18% (G:16.21% B:0.72%) 50.82% (G:21.94% B:1.83%) | |
|
2. | XG Roller++ | 13/9 7/1* | eq: -0.111 (-0.107) |
| Player: Opponent: | 44.58% (G:16.01% B:0.43%) 55.42% (G:16.01% B:0.66%) | |
|
3. | XG Roller++ | 13/3 | eq: -0.118 (-0.114) |
| Player: Opponent: | 46.28% (G:11.18% B:0.35%) 53.72% (G:10.96% B:0.38%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10