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41S-51S-43 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Tuesday, 10 December 2013, at 4:45 a.m.

In Response To: Other moves where P is correct (David Rockwell)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 161 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 162 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa---E-CA--dD---d-e---AA-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.	Rollout1	9/5 8/5	eq: +0.2022
	Player: Opponent: 54.37% (G:17.64% B:0.68%) 45.63% (G:12.17% B:0.50%) Conf.: ±0.0077 (+0.1945...+0.2098) - [99.9%] Duration: 30 minutes 02 seconds
2.	Rollout1	24/20 23/20	eq: +0.1861 (-0.0161)
	Player: Opponent: 54.06% (G:12.81% B:0.39%) 45.94% (G:8.03% B:0.30%) Conf.: ±0.0069 (+0.1792...+0.1930) - [0.1%] Duration: 35 minutes 33 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 30125428 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike 2012-Oct-28 eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03 41S-51S-43-tm.xgp [P @16] "<=5

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

41S-51S-43 — Unlimited Games

Bot	Seed	Equity	Nacbracs	Link
XG 2.03 3-ply, Cubes: XGR	30125428	+202.2	[P @16] "<=5	Taper_Mike (above)
XG 2.xx 3-ply, Cubes: XGR	68700246	+206.0	[P @22] "<=5	David Rockwell
XG 2.03 XGR++ Eval	[XGR++ seed]	+203.8	[P @33] &e	Taper_Mike

Key: @ = Anchor [24/20, 23/20], P = Point [9/5, 8/5]

Explanation of nacbracs

In the two XG rollouts, anchoring trails by 0.016 and 0.022. This is a reminder that there can be a lot of variance in a 5k rollout.

Mike

Messages In This Thread

• Money game: 41S-65R-43
  Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 12:04 a.m.
  • Money game: 41S-65R-43
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 12:23 a.m.
  • Money game: 41S-65R-43
    Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 12:44 a.m.
  • Money game: 41S-65R-43
    Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 2:44 a.m.
    • Money game: 41S-65R-43
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 3:34 a.m.
    • Money game: 41S-65R-43
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 3:16 p.m.
  • Money game: 41S-65R-43
    David -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 3:21 a.m.
  • Money game: 41S-65R-43
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 3:11 p.m.
  • OTB and short rollout
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 9:55 p.m.
    • OTB and short rollout
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 December 2009, at 12:11 a.m.
      • OTB and short rollout
        Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 December 2009, at 7:28 p.m.
    • It would be nice if you have time to lengthen this..maybe to 10k *NM*
      neilkaz -- Wednesday, 16 December 2009, at 8:26 p.m.
    • XG RO?
      onur alan -- Monday, 9 December 2013, at 10:07 p.m.
      • 41S-65R-43 RO
        David Rockwell -- Monday, 9 December 2013, at 11:40 p.m.
        • Other moves where P is correct
          David Rockwell -- Monday, 9 December 2013, at 11:49 p.m.
          • 41S-51S-43 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
            Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 10 December 2013, at 4:45 a.m.
      • 41S-65R-43 — Unlimited Games — XG2 Rollout
        Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 10 December 2013, at 4:23 a.m.