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OLM 2013-12-10

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 11 December 2013, at 6:03 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 2013-12-10 (Jason Lee)

Doesn't seem like anyone took the time to figure out a take point or bother mentioning gammon values? I'll start with the take point at this lopsided score seems like it might be important.

  • Double/Pass we are at 7a 10a or 66% ME
  • Double/Take/Lose we are at 7a 8a or 56% ME
  • Double/Take/Win we are at 3a 12a or 91% ME

Risking 10% to gain 25% or 10/35 = ~28% as our dead cube take point. Since our opponent's live cube take point on an 8 cube is around 9% let's call that 28% our live cube take point too.

There aren't a lot of gammons floating around. He wins some, we win some, but on a 4 cube his are worth a lot more than ours. I'd guesstimate we need to add another 4% (?) to our lctp to get a fully adjusted take point of ~32%.

Do we have 32% here? Hell if I know.

Stick

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