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Rollout and XGR++ results
Posted By: Michael Petch
Date: Saturday, 14 December 2013, at 12:14 a.m.
In Response To: Interesting chequer decision from Mochy/Falafel Doubles Match (Michael Petch)
The results were pretty close (a toss up) for the top 2 plays.
White is Mochy / Falafel
score: 6
pip: 1379 point match pip: 116
score: 3
Blue is OpponentsXGID=AaBCBCAdabBcbbA:1:1:1:54:3:6:0:9:10 Blue to play 54
1. Rollout^{1} 9/5 6/1 eq: +0.213
Player:
Opponent:54.49% (G:20.97% B:0.14%)
45.51% (G:8.66% B:0.77%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.208...+0.218)  [78.5%]
Duration: 10 minutes 50 seconds2. Rollout^{2} 9/4 6/2* eq: +0.210 (0.003)
Player:
Opponent:51.77% (G:28.35% B:0.23%)
48.23% (G:13.21% B:1.80%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.205...+0.215)  [21.5%]
Duration: 17 minutes 05 seconds3. Rollout^{3} 18/13 6/2* eq: +0.064 (0.149)
Player:
Opponent:46.33% (G:29.58% B:0.37%)
53.67% (G:22.39% B:6.13%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.059...+0.069)  [0.0%]
Duration: 39 minutes 21 seconds^{1} 2304 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 44657072
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
^{2} 2736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 44657072
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
^{3} 3708 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 44657072
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
1. XG Roller++ 9/4 6/2* eq: +0.213
Player:
Opponent:51.53% (G:27.95% B:0.26%)
48.47% (G:13.69% B:0.84%)2. XG Roller++ 9/5 6/1 eq: +0.208 (0.004)
Player:
Opponent:54.39% (G:20.81% B:0.12%)
45.61% (G:8.37% B:0.39%)3. XG Roller++ 18/13 6/2* eq: +0.084 (0.128)
Player:
Opponent:45.94% (G:29.15% B:0.43%)
54.06% (G:24.35% B:3.38%)
1. 4ply 9/5 6/1 eq: +0.202
Player:
Opponent:54.50% (G:20.43% B:0.09%)
45.50% (G:8.36% B:0.47%)2. 4ply 9/4 6/2* eq: +0.183 (0.020)
Player:
Opponent:50.59% (G:27.61% B:0.29%)
49.41% (G:14.44% B:0.97%)3. 4ply 18/13 6/2* eq: +0.076 (0.126)
Player:
Opponent:45.91% (G:28.96% B:0.45%)
54.09% (G:24.46% B:3.63%)eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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