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Rollout and XGR++ results

Posted By: Michael Petch
Date: Saturday, 14 December 2013, at 12:14 a.m.

In Response To: Interesting chequer decision from Mochy/Falafel Doubles Match (Michael Petch)

The results were pretty close (a toss up) for the top 2 plays.





White is Mochy / Falafel

score: 6
pip: 137
9 point match
pip: 116
score: 3

Blue is Opponents
XGID=-AaBCBC--A--d--a-bBcbb--A-:1:-1:1:54:3:6:0:9:10
Blue to play 54

1.Rollout19/5 6/1eq: +0.213
Player:
Opponent:
54.49% (G:20.97% B:0.14%)
45.51% (G:8.66% B:0.77%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.208...+0.218) - [78.5%]
Duration: 10 minutes 50 seconds
2.Rollout29/4 6/2* eq: +0.210 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:
51.77% (G:28.35% B:0.23%)
48.23% (G:13.21% B:1.80%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.205...+0.215) - [21.5%]
Duration: 17 minutes 05 seconds
3.Rollout318/13 6/2* eq: +0.064 (-0.149)
Player:
Opponent:
46.33% (G:29.58% B:0.37%)
53.67% (G:22.39% B:6.13%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.059...+0.069) - [0.0%]
Duration: 39 minutes 21 seconds
1 2304 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 44657072
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 2736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 44657072
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 3708 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 44657072
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

1.XG Roller++9/4 6/2* eq: +0.213
Player:
Opponent:
51.53% (G:27.95% B:0.26%)
48.47% (G:13.69% B:0.84%)
2.XG Roller++9/5 6/1eq: +0.208 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:
54.39% (G:20.81% B:0.12%)
45.61% (G:8.37% B:0.39%)
3.XG Roller++18/13 6/2* eq: +0.084 (-0.128)
Player:
Opponent:
45.94% (G:29.15% B:0.43%)
54.06% (G:24.35% B:3.38%)

1.4-ply9/5 6/1eq: +0.202
Player:
Opponent:
54.50% (G:20.43% B:0.09%)
45.50% (G:8.36% B:0.47%)
2.4-ply9/4 6/2* eq: +0.183 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:
50.59% (G:27.61% B:0.29%)
49.41% (G:14.44% B:0.97%)
3.4-ply18/13 6/2* eq: +0.076 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:
45.91% (G:28.96% B:0.45%)
54.09% (G:24.46% B:3.63%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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