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8a-2a cube action

Posted By: David Rennie
Date: Saturday, 21 December 2013, at 3:28 p.m.

In Response To: 8a-2a cube action (Stick)

So I will assume a take point of 21.5%. I'll up the gammons to 24% which I think is reasonable but on the generous side of reasonable so that means we need to have about 36% wins to take. This is where my analysis falls apart, if it hasn't already. There's no way we have less than 33% wins I believe and no way we have more than 37% wins. Well, of course there are ways. I'm usually wrong. But I feel pretty sure White wins 63-67% of the time. So depending on which side of the spectrum it is it's a different decision. I guess I will pass based on the fact that, if my range is correct, we're in the pass zone more than the take zone. lol What a stupid reason.

Reluctantly agreeing with Michelle: D/P.

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