David Rennie nailed it. We would like to run when white has three checkers on her 4pt for then any non-double roll with both dice having 2 pips or more either double blots or gives us a double shot. When white has 2 checkers, we still stay back for then 62, 52, 42, 32, 61, 51, 41, 31, 21 gives us the same good opportunities.
        
 
        
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 22 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby | pip: 118
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-BBA-CBB-------------dABf-:1:1:1:32:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 32 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 7/4 5/3 | eq: -1.396 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 14.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
85.51% (G:70.75% B:3.35%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-1.400...-1.392) - [100.0%]
Duration: 10.4 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 23/20 5/3 | eq: -1.427 (-0.031) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 13.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
86.30% (G:73.94% B:1.84%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-1.431...-1.424) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12.4 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 74676194
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 19 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby | pip: 118
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-BBA-CBB-------------cABg-:1:1:1:32:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 32 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 23/20 5/3 | eq: -1.069 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 23.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
76.60% (G:62.35% B:1.12%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-1.074...-1.065) - [100.0%]
Duration: 15.2 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 23/18 | eq: -1.105 (-0.035) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 21.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.06% (G:63.03% B:0.78%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-1.110...-1.100) - [0.0%]
Duration: 18.6 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 23/20 7/5 | eq: -1.127 (-0.057) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 21.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.66% (G:63.29% B:1.32%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-1.132...-1.121) - [0.0%]
Duration: 18.6 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 23/20 3/1 | eq: -1.246 (-0.177) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 17.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
82.61% (G:65.97% B:1.16%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-1.252...-1.241) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19.7 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 23/20 6/4 | eq: -1.262 (-0.193) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 18.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
81.60% (G:69.53% B:1.66%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-1.269...-1.256) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23.9 seconds |
|
| 6. | Rollout1 | 7/4 5/3 | eq: -1.297 (-0.227) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 17.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
82.87% (G:68.41% B:2.86%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-1.301...-1.293) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8.7 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 74676194
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 16 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby | pip: 118
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-BBA-CBB-------------bABh-:1:1:1:32:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 32 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 7/4 5/3 | eq: -1.335 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 16.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
83.01% (G:72.64% B:2.45%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-1.340...-1.330) - [100.0%]
Duration: 7.6 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 7/5 7/4 | eq: -1.435 (-0.100) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 13.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
86.34% (G:74.60% B:2.44%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-1.439...-1.431) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10.6 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 7/4 6/4 | eq: -1.468 (-0.133) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 13.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
87.00% (G:76.27% B:2.54%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-1.473...-1.464) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9.6 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 7/4 3/1 | eq: -1.512 (-0.177) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 11.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
88.87% (G:75.65% B:2.39%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-1.516...-1.508) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9.1 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 23/20 5/3 | eq: -1.515 (-0.180) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 11.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
88.27% (G:79.51% B:0.80%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-1.520...-1.511) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6.6 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 74676194
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10