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64S - 31? AtS RO

Posted By: David Rockwell
Date: Sunday, 12 January 2014, at 6:12 p.m.

In Response To: 64S - 31? (neilkaz)

My 4 ply rollout agrees closely with Neil's XGR+ rollout.

Match players should note that the choice varies with score. And the best play appears to vary with even scores as well as uneven scores.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
3 point match
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----EaC---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:31:0:0:0:3:10
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout124/21 8/7* eq: -0.1183
Player:
Opponent:
47.70% (G:13.05% B:1.18%)
52.30% (G:15.57% B:1.55%)
Conf.: 0.0037 (-0.1220...-0.1146) - [76.6%]
Duration: 2 hours 47 minutes
2.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: -0.1201 (-0.0018)
Player:
Opponent:
47.22% (G:12.81% B:0.92%)
52.78% (G:13.88% B:1.19%)
Conf.: 0.0033 (-0.1234...-0.1168) - [23.4%]
Duration: 2 hours 08 minutes
3.Rollout213/10 8/7* eq: -0.1489 (-0.0306)
Player:
Opponent:
47.17% (G:13.47% B:1.34%)
52.83% (G:17.18% B:2.51%)
Conf.: 0.0098 (-0.1587...-0.1391) - [0.0%]
Duration: 29 minutes 48 seconds
1 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 59212064
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 59212064
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
5 point match
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----EaC---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:31:0:0:0:5:10
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: -0.1060
Player:
Opponent:
47.20% (G:12.76% B:0.56%)
52.80% (G:13.74% B:0.72%)
Conf.: 0.0030 (-0.1089...-0.1030) - [99.9%]
Duration: 3 hours 20 minutes
2.Rollout124/21 8/7* eq: -0.1128 (-0.0068)
Player:
Opponent:
47.57% (G:12.87% B:0.68%)
52.43% (G:15.24% B:0.83%)
Conf.: 0.0032 (-0.1160...-0.1096) - [0.1%]
Duration: 4 hours 16 minutes
3.Rollout213/10 8/7* eq: -0.1557 (-0.0497)
Player:
Opponent:
46.97% (G:13.22% B:0.75%)
53.03% (G:16.95% B:1.24%)
Conf.: 0.0082 (-0.1639...-0.1475) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 07 minutes
1 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52795426
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52795426
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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