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Rollout Results of Two Variations

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Tuesday, 14 January 2014, at 6:15 p.m.

In Response To: Match play Cube Action RO XGR+ / XGR++ (David Rockwell)

On the left, White has two off instead of only one. Same score.

On the right, White has only one off, but it is now a money game.





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 63
9 point match
pip: 151
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a-BBBBB-----------A-cAedC-:1:1:1:00:3:2:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 79.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.08% (G:8.60% B:1.42%) 20.30% (G:8.51% B:2.18%)
Cubeless Equities +0.466 +1.046
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.942 (-0.009)±0.004 (+0.938..+0.946)
Redouble/Take:+0.951±0.004 (+0.947..+0.956)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.049)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
10369 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:99.9%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 48 minutes 19 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 65
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a-BBBBB-----------A-cAeeC-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 80.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 81.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 19.96% (G:7.30% B:0.45%) 18.98% (G:7.09% B:0.43%)
Cubeless Equities +0.523 +1.090
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.955 (-0.045)±0.003 (+0.952..+0.959)
Redouble/Take:+1.004 (+0.004)±0.004 (+1.000..+1.008)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
10369 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:96.0%
Duration: 43 minutes 58 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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