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OLM 2014-01-17

Posted By: bill
Date: Friday, 17 January 2014, at 4:12 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 2014-01-17 (Jason Lee)

TAKE

My first thought was that this is an easy money take. Race is even and White is not closing that five point any time soon. Then I dug into the match equities. If there were no recubes or gammons, the take would be even easier than a money decision. (take and win 93%, drop 76%, take and lose 71%...risk 5 to get 17...take point approx 22.5%)

Since we can't get full value from gammons or recubes, that makes us slower to take, but I'm not sure by how much. If anyone wants to tell how they adjusted for the recubes and gammons, I would love to hear it.

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