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64S-11N-F-C Jacoby, No Beavers 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Tuesday, 18 February 2014, at 12:37 p.m.

In Response To: 64S-11N-F-C - XG 4ply/XGR+ Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 164
Unlimited Game
Jacoby
pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa---BCBA---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:1:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.310% (G:22.383% B:1.299%) 65.442% (G:22.980% B:1.328%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.690% (G:8.143% B:0.367%) 34.558% (G:8.359% B:0.380%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.4579 +0.9291
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.6880±0.0054 (+0.6826..+0.6934)
Double/Take:+0.6642 (-0.0238)±0.0074 (+0.6568..+0.6715)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.3120)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.6%
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 42326945
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 08 minutes

Rollout by Igor Erovenko
2013-Mar-15
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
64S-11N-F-C-j-ie.xgp
[N 688-24] "<=10

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Mike

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