I had the dark checkers the other day vs. XGR+. It doubled here and I took. Should have passed though. The reason I took was that if I made the mistake of auto recubing on my next roll my tp would be my MWC at 2a-4a (33.13% accd to XG). I figured if I handled the cube more reasonably that I could problably take with 2-3% less than the auto recube tp. My experience is that a 2-3% reduction from the auto cube tp is usually about right. I thought I could win this 30-31% of the time, so I took the cube. My winning chances are in this range but it's still not quite a take.
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| XGID=aa--CBBbCAA-cB---b-bbA-b--:0:0:1:00:2:1:0:5:10 | ||||
 on roll, cube action? | ||||
is Player 2| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 69.72% (G:37.62% B:3.35%) | 69.07% (G:39.62% B:5.44%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 30.28% (G:6.48% B:0.50%) | 30.93% (G:6.71% B:0.73%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +1.032 | +1.763 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No double: | +0.910 (-0.090) | ±0.015 (+0.895..+0.925) |
| Double/Take: | +1.025 (+0.025) | ±0.021 (+1.004..+1.046) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 | |
| Best Cube action: Double / Pass | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 99.0% | |
| Duration: 1 hour 18 minutes | ||
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2