[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Recube from behind a prime? ROLLOUT

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Wednesday, 26 February 2014, at 7:17 p.m.

In Response To: Recube from behind a prime? (Jason Lee)





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 106
5 point match
pip: 113
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a-BB-CCBA---a--ab--bbbbbB-:1:1:1:00:0:2:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 46.82% (G:21.67% B:1.13%) 46.84% (G:21.47% B:1.31%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 53.18% (G:14.48% B:2.27%) 53.16% (G:13.71% B:2.19%)
Cubeless Equities +0.137 +0.445
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.401 (-0.044)ħ0.003 (+0.399..+0.404)
Redouble/Take:+0.445ħ0.003 (+0.442..+0.448)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.555)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 45 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.11.200.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

I did spend more than the usual amount of time OTB staring at this. I never seriously considered NOT cubing, I just wanted to absorb what my various rolls did before I cubed. A lot of what Keene said was bouncing around in my head. The empty 4 point had me concerned, but many of my non escaping rolls made that four point.

Neil's advice is good, which is "Just recube, stop screwing around." =)

I always enjoy a good position where it's correct to cube as a dog.

JLee

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response

Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:

 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.