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OTB and RO

Posted By: Mr Majestyk
Date: Tuesday, 4 March 2014, at 6:52 p.m.

In Response To: OTB and RO (John O'Hagan)

I'd have no problem replicating your methodology, excellent report. I would have estimated cream's gammons differently. For instance, 36%*64%, 23%*70%(Fan)*75% = 12%.

In addition, I would have assumed every hit wins, 13/36, plus all remaining aces (7/36) followed by Chocolate failing to safety the straggler. In this variation I'd have a second chance to hit, probably 20/36. Therefore, 9/36*20/36 or 13%+36% = 49%.

NBM

Messages In This Thread

• Cube action ATS?
  John O'Hagan -- Monday, 3 March 2014, at 4:48 p.m.
  • Cube action ATS?
    Keene -- Monday, 3 March 2014, at 6:10 p.m.
  • Cube action ATS?
    Keene -- Monday, 3 March 2014, at 7:44 p.m.
  • Cube action ATS?
    Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 4 March 2014, at 12:45 a.m.
  • Cube action ATS?
    HOMINID -- Tuesday, 4 March 2014, at 11:13 a.m.
  • Cube action ATS?
    ah_clem -- Tuesday, 4 March 2014, at 2:58 p.m.
  • OTB and RO
    John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 4 March 2014, at 6:03 p.m.
    • OTB and RO
      Mr Majestyk -- Tuesday, 4 March 2014, at 6:52 p.m.