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The experts disagree, tell me why

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 27 January 2008, at 12:00 a.m.

I will tell you Snowie's rollout supports its analysis, that not moving both men from the 22pt to the 21pt is incorrect. GNU's analysis also supports this idea by the same margin. The question is why? Why isn't it better to prepare to escape both checkers with 5s & 6s? I have my own answer already, Svobodny made Snowie's #1 play, Magriel disagreed and said he should have moved both off the 22pt. Ask the audience?

We are really only comparing play #1 & #4 here, the rest isn't important. [22/21 12/9 v. 22/21(2) 12/10]

Mike S (Green) vs. Paul M (White)
5 point Match

Match to 5. Score Green-White: 0-0

Move 2 Green		Pip: 205
		Game 1 5 point match Green-White: Score 0-0
		Pip: 143

#	Ply	Move	Equity
*1	3	22/21 12/9	0.337
		5.4% 36.6% 57.0% 43.0% 8.9% 0.5%
		Speed Parameter: Precise.
2	3	22/21 12/10 6/5	0.319 (-0.018)
		5.2% 36.1% 56.7% 43.3% 8.8% 0.5%
		Speed Parameter: Precise.
3	3	22/21 12/11 6/4	0.302 (-0.034)
		5.3% 35.9% 56.2% 43.8% 9.2% 0.5%
		Speed Parameter: Precise.
4	3	22/21(2) 12/10	0.281 (-0.056)
		5.0% 35.3% 55.9% 44.1% 9.6% 0.5%
		Speed Parameter: Precise.
5	3	22/21(2) 12/11 6/5	0.274 (-0.063)
		4.9% 35.1% 55.8% 44.2% 9.4% 0.4%
		Speed Parameter: Precise.

Messages In This Thread

• The experts disagree, tell me why
  Stick -- Sunday, 27 January 2008, at 12:00 a.m.
  • The experts disagree, tell me why
    happyjuggler0 -- Sunday, 27 January 2008, at 1:59 a.m.
  • The experts disagree, tell me why
    Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 27 January 2008, at 2:37 a.m.
    • The experts disagree, tell me why
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 27 January 2008, at 4:37 a.m.
  • contains some bot info, but really a tease
    happyjuggler0 -- Sunday, 27 January 2008, at 5:41 p.m.
  • The experts disagree, tell me why
    Ian Shaw -- Monday, 28 January 2008, at 9:50 a.m.
  • I wish I could
    neilkaz -- Monday, 28 January 2008, at 12:57 p.m.