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DQFTC: Shouldn't the double get stronger?

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Saturday, 15 March 2014, at 7:34 p.m.

This is my first DQFTC (Donkey Question For Tim Chow).

Note that as the opponent's position worsens, counterintuitively, the double turns to a no-double. What's going on?

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, Leo 0

Move number 4: Leo on roll, cube decision?

gnubg1

1X ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '

 '1O ' '1O ' ' ' ' ' ' '
Leo7
Position ID: AQAAiAAAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE

• Leo doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.056
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.111
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.889
3.No double +0.056 -0.056
Proper cube action:Redouble, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player Leo owns 2-cube0.5280.0000.000-0.4720.0000.000 +0.056 +0.056
Standard error0.0000.0000.000-0.0000.0000.000 0.000 0.000
Player gnubg owns 4-cube0.5280.0000.000-0.4720.0000.000 +0.111 +0.111
Standard error0.0000.0000.000-0.0000.0000.000 0.000 0.000
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 705624350 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, Leo 0

Move number 4: Leo on roll, cube decision?

gnubg2

 '1X ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '

 '1O ' '1O ' ' ' ' ' ' '
Leo7
Position ID: AgAAiAAAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE

• Leo doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.056
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.111
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.889
3.No double +0.056 -0.056
Proper cube action:Redouble, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player Leo owns 2-cube0.5280.0000.000-0.4720.0000.000 +0.056 +0.056
Standard error0.0000.0000.000-0.0000.0000.000 0.000 0.000
Player gnubg owns 4-cube0.5280.0000.000-0.4720.0000.000 +0.111 +0.111
Standard error0.0000.0000.000-0.0000.0000.000 0.000 0.000
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 705624350 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, Leo 0

Move number 4: Leo on roll, cube decision?

gnubg3

 ' '1X ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '

 '1O ' '1O ' ' ' ' ' ' '
Leo7
Position ID: BAAAiAAAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE

• Leo doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.056
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.111
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.889
3.No double +0.056 -0.056
Proper cube action:Redouble, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player Leo owns 2-cube0.5280.0000.000-0.4720.0000.000 +0.056 +0.056
Standard error0.0000.0000.000-0.0000.0000.000 0.000 0.000
Player gnubg owns 4-cube0.5280.0000.000-0.4720.0000.000 +0.111 +0.111
Standard error0.0000.0000.000-0.0000.0000.000 0.000 0.000
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 705624350 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, Leo 0

Move number 4: Leo on roll, cube decision?

gnubg4

 ' ' '1X ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '

 '1O ' '1O ' ' ' ' ' ' '
Leo7
Position ID: CAAAiAAAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE

• Leo doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.108
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.111
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.889
3.No double +0.108 -0.003
Proper cube action:Redouble, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player Leo owns 2-cube0.5540.0000.000-0.4460.0000.000 +0.108 +0.108
Standard error0.0000.0000.000-0.0000.0000.000 0.000 0.000
Player gnubg owns 4-cube0.5540.0000.000-0.4460.0000.000 +0.215 +0.111
Standard error0.0000.0000.000-0.0000.0000.000 0.000 0.000
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 705624350 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, Leo 0

Move number 4: Leo on roll, cube decision?

gnubg5

 ' ' ' '1X ' ' ' ' ' ' '

 '1O ' '1O ' ' ' ' ' ' '
Leo7
Position ID: EAAAiAAAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE

• Leo doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.076)! [very bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.186
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.187
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.813
3.Double, take +0.111 -0.076
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (8.5%)
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player Leo owns 2-cube0.5930.0000.000-0.4070.0000.000 +0.186 +0.187
Standard error0.0000.0000.000-0.0000.0000.000 0.000 0.000
Player gnubg owns 4-cube0.5930.0000.000-0.4070.0000.000 +0.372 +0.111
Standard error0.0000.0000.000-0.0000.0000.000 0.000 0.000
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 705624350 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, Leo 0

Move number 4: Leo on roll, cube decision?

gnubg6

 ' ' ' ' '1X ' ' ' ' ' '

 '1O ' '1O ' ' ' ' ' ' '
Leo7
Position ID: IAAAiAAAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE

• Leo doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.181)! [very bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.290
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.292
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.708
3.Double, take +0.111 -0.181
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (20.3%)
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player Leo owns 2-cube0.6450.0000.000-0.3550.0000.000 +0.290 +0.292
Standard error0.0000.0000.000-0.0000.0000.000 0.000 0.000
Player gnubg owns 4-cube0.6450.0000.000-0.3550.0000.000 +0.580 +0.111
Standard error0.0000.0000.000-0.0000.0000.000 0.000 0.000
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 705624350 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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