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DQFTC: Shouldn't the double get stronger?
Posted By: leobueno
Date: Saturday, 15 March 2014, at 7:34 p.m.
This is my first DQFTC (Donkey Question For Tim Chow).
Note that as the opponent's position worsens, counterintuitively, the double turns to a no-double. What's going on?
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, Leo 0
Move number 4: Leo on roll, cube decision?
gnubg 1
Leo 7 Position ID: AQAAiAAAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE • Leo doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.056 Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.111 2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.889 3. No double +0.056 -0.056 Proper cube action: Redouble, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Leo owns 2-cube 0.528 0.000 0.000 - 0.472 0.000 0.000 +0.056 +0.056 Standard error 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Player gnubg owns 4-cube 0.528 0.000 0.000 - 0.472 0.000 0.000 +0.111 +0.111 Standard error 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 705624350 and quasi-random dice Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, Leo 0
Move number 4: Leo on roll, cube decision?
gnubg 2
Leo 7 Position ID: AgAAiAAAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE • Leo doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.056 Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.111 2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.889 3. No double +0.056 -0.056 Proper cube action: Redouble, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Leo owns 2-cube 0.528 0.000 0.000 - 0.472 0.000 0.000 +0.056 +0.056 Standard error 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Player gnubg owns 4-cube 0.528 0.000 0.000 - 0.472 0.000 0.000 +0.111 +0.111 Standard error 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 705624350 and quasi-random dice Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, Leo 0
Move number 4: Leo on roll, cube decision?
gnubg 3
Leo 7 Position ID: BAAAiAAAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE • Leo doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.056 Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.111 2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.889 3. No double +0.056 -0.056 Proper cube action: Redouble, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Leo owns 2-cube 0.528 0.000 0.000 - 0.472 0.000 0.000 +0.056 +0.056 Standard error 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Player gnubg owns 4-cube 0.528 0.000 0.000 - 0.472 0.000 0.000 +0.111 +0.111 Standard error 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 705624350 and quasi-random dice Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, Leo 0
Move number 4: Leo on roll, cube decision?
gnubg 4
Leo 7 Position ID: CAAAiAAAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE • Leo doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.108 Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.111 2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.889 3. No double +0.108 -0.003 Proper cube action: Redouble, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Leo owns 2-cube 0.554 0.000 0.000 - 0.446 0.000 0.000 +0.108 +0.108 Standard error 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Player gnubg owns 4-cube 0.554 0.000 0.000 - 0.446 0.000 0.000 +0.215 +0.111 Standard error 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 705624350 and quasi-random dice Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, Leo 0
Move number 4: Leo on roll, cube decision?
gnubg 5
Leo 7 Position ID: EAAAiAAAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE • Leo doubles
Alert: wrong double ( -0.076)! [very bad]
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.186 Cubeful equities: 1. No double +0.187 2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.813 3. Double, take +0.111 -0.076 Proper cube action: No redouble, take (8.5%) Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Leo owns 2-cube 0.593 0.000 0.000 - 0.407 0.000 0.000 +0.186 +0.187 Standard error 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Player gnubg owns 4-cube 0.593 0.000 0.000 - 0.407 0.000 0.000 +0.372 +0.111 Standard error 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 705624350 and quasi-random dice Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, Leo 0
Move number 4: Leo on roll, cube decision?
gnubg 6
Leo 7 Position ID: IAAAiAAAAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE • Leo doubles
Alert: wrong double ( -0.181)! [very bad]
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.290 Cubeful equities: 1. No double +0.292 2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.708 3. Double, take +0.111 -0.181 Proper cube action: No redouble, take (20.3%) Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Leo owns 2-cube 0.645 0.000 0.000 - 0.355 0.000 0.000 +0.290 +0.292 Standard error 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Player gnubg owns 4-cube 0.645 0.000 0.000 - 0.355 0.000 0.000 +0.580 +0.111 Standard error 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 705624350 and quasi-random dice Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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