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42P-43S-43K-21-32@-64R-62U-52T-31

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 20 March 2014, at 4:08 a.m.

In Response To: 42P-54S-43K-21-32@-51H-62U-54T-31 (Taper_Mike)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 146
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 182
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--B-D-----dE---eAe--BA--:0:0:1:13:0:0:3:0:10

42P-43S-43K-21-32@-64R-62U-52T-31


I've upgraded my original sequence so that Blue's seventh-roll move of 62 is "well played." After 10k, the difference is .017. (If I were proofing this for a more permanent document, I would extend the rollout in order to be more certain it is within .02.)

Below is the rollout result for that 62 move. Who can spot the key feature of the position that helps Blue's U (Up, bar/23 24/18) be a closer move here (below) than it is in the final rollout of Mike's post?

........Nactation tutorial

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 153
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 190
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--B-D-----eE-a-c-e--B-AA:0:0:1:62:0:0:3:0:10

42P-43S-43K-21-32@-64R-62
[D U17] "<=10


1.Rollout1Bar/23 13/7eq: -0.3724
Player:
Opponent:
42.17% (G:10.44% B:0.39%)
57.83% (G:19.53% B:1.02%)
Conf.: 0.0066 (-0.3790...-0.3659) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 hours 07 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/23 24/18eq: -0.3891 (-0.0166)
Player:
Opponent:
41.57% (G:9.72% B:0.36%)
58.43% (G:18.71% B:0.82%)
Conf.: 0.0064 (-0.3955...-0.3827) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 hours 14 minutes
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 64026929
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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