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41S-32 P2a RO

Posted By: David Rockwell
Date: Tuesday, 25 March 2014, at 11:58 a.m.

In Response To: Post-Crawford Take/Pass Decision (David Rockwell)

After an opening 41S at this score, either of the moves which are normally best, 32Z and 32S are both incorrect. 32D is needed to force the opener to double out. After either of the splitting plays, opener is too good and can take another roll before doubling.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162
2 point match
pip: 167
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa---E-C---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:32:1:0:0:2:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout113/11 13/10eq: -1.0000
Player:
Opponent:		46.28% (G:14.21% B:1.51%)
53.72% (G:18.56% B:3.13%)		Conf.: ±0.0019 (-1.0019...-0.9981) - [99.8%]
Duration: 16 hours 20 minutes
2.Rollout124/21 13/11eq: -1.0044 (-0.0044)
Player:
Opponent:		47.05% (G:12.85% B:1.10%)
52.95% (G:16.52% B:1.36%)		Conf.: ±0.0024 (-1.0067...-1.0020) - [0.2%]
Duration: 16 hours 03 minutes
3.Rollout224/22 13/10eq: -1.0125 (-0.0125)
Player:
Opponent:		46.93% (G:12.80% B:1.09%)
53.07% (G:16.50% B:1.12%)		Conf.: ±0.0045 (-1.0170...-1.0080) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 41 minutes
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Rolled for both No double and Double
Dice Seed: 80825548
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Rolled for both No double and Double
Dice Seed: 80825548
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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