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OLM 2014-03-26 The Prime Factors

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Thursday, 27 March 2014, at 2:23 a.m.

In Response To: OLM 2014-03-26 The Prime Factors (Jason Lee)

The Dilly Builders vs. The Prime Factors

Click any move to see the position.

Game 1 9-away, 9-away Dilly Builders: 51S-54S-42P-61P-33A-F-C-P
Game 2 8-away, 9-away Prime Factors: 52S-64H-62U-41P-21$-41U-F-N-42P-52C-C-T-41P-31P-31H-32H-F-22N-51S-X-11n-31H-52U-F-R-P
Game 3 8-away, 7-away Prime Factors: 64S-61P-52U-51H-44P-41A-42H-51S-N-55M-64H-N-F-N-43H-F-C-P
Game 4 7-away, 7-away Dilly Builders: 63S-42H-41S-61$-41H-54@-55A-F-N-32-55





White is The Dilly Builders

score: 2
pip: 125
9 point match
pip: 166
score: 2

Blue is The Prime Factors
XGID=----aaDBC---bC---c-dBb--bA:0:0:1:55:2:2:0:9:10
Blue to play 55

H (Hit) = bar/5*

The choice I see is between hitting loose, H = bar/5*, and making the 3pt, P = bar/20, 13/3, 8/3. A third candidate is running, R = bar/15 20/15(2), but that's no good because we would still trail by 21 pips.

I don’t like leaving a double shot when we are out-boarded 3-to-1, but I dislike the gappy position after making the 3pt even more. The downside to hitting is less than the upside. If we are hit, we will fall behind further in a race where we already trail. If we are not hit, however, we will have a good chance to improve our front position.

Mike

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