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Bearoff vs. 3 on the ace & vs. 2 closed out + 1

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Saturday, 29 March 2014, at 2:12 a.m.

Money game, both positions. Blue on roll.

Us	51
Them	57
Position ID: AQAAtu3uAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0077)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5011
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.8834
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.1166
3.	Double, take	+0.8757	-0.0077
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (6.2%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Them owns 2-cube 0.7505 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2495 0.0000 0.0000 +0.5011 +0.8834 Standard error 0.0011 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0011 0.0000 0.0000 0.0022 0.0048 Player Us owns 4-cube 0.7533 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2467 0.0000 0.0000 +1.0133 +0.8757 Standard error 0.0011 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0011 0.0000 0.0000 0.0045 0.0053
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 706620929 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Us	72
Them	69
Position ID: AACAY7u7AQAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE

Alert: wrong double ( -0.2372)! [very bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.2720
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.5659
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.4341
3.	Double, take	+0.3287	-0.2372
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (35.3%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Them owns 2-cube 0.6361 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3639 0.0000 0.0001 +0.2727 +0.5659 Standard error 0.0049 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0049 0.0075 0.0001 0.0098 0.0173 Player Us owns 4-cube 0.6403 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3597 0.0000 0.0000 +0.5625 +0.3287 Standard error 0.0051 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0051 0.0046 0.0001 0.0203 0.0265
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
194 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 706620929 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Bearoff vs. 3 on the ace & vs. 2 closed out + 1
  Daniel Murphy -- Saturday, 29 March 2014, at 2:12 a.m.
  • Bearoff vs. 3 on the ace & vs. 2 closed out + 1
    Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 29 March 2014, at 2:49 a.m.
  • Bearoff vs. 3 on the ace & vs. 2 closed out + 1
    Stick -- Saturday, 29 March 2014, at 8:00 p.m.