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Bearoff vs. 3 on the ace & vs. 2 closed out + 1

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Saturday, 29 March 2014, at 2:12 a.m.

Money game, both positions. Blue on roll.

Us51

1X ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '

2O2O2O3O3O3O ' ' ' ' ' '
Them57
Position ID: AQAAtu3uAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0077)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.5011
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.8834
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1166
3.Double, take +0.8757 -0.0077
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (6.2%)
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player Them owns 2-cube0.75050.00000.0000-0.24950.00000.0000 +0.5011 +0.8834
Standard error0.00110.00000.0000-0.00110.00000.0000 0.0022 0.0048
Player Us owns 4-cube0.75330.00000.0000-0.24670.00000.0000 +1.0133 +0.8757
Standard error0.00110.00000.0000-0.00110.00000.0000 0.0045 0.0053
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 706620929 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Us72

 ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '

3X2O2O3O3O3O2O ' ' ' ' '
Them69
Position ID: AACAY7u7AQAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE

Alert: wrong double ( -0.2372)! [very bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.2720
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.5659
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.4341
3.Double, take +0.3287 -0.2372
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (35.3%)
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player Them owns 2-cube0.63610.00000.0000-0.36390.00000.0001 +0.2727 +0.5659
Standard error0.00490.00000.0000-0.00490.00750.0001 0.0098 0.0173
Player Us owns 4-cube0.64030.00000.0000-0.35970.00000.0000 +0.5625 +0.3287
Standard error0.00510.00000.0000-0.00510.00460.0001 0.0203 0.0265
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
194 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 706620929 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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