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BGonline.org Forums
Bearoff vs. 3 on the ace & vs. 2 closed out + 1
Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Saturday, 29 March 2014, at 2:12 a.m.
Money game, both positions. Blue on roll.
Us 51
Them 57 Position ID: AQAAtu3uAAAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE Alert: wrong double ( -0.0077)!
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.5011 Cubeful equities: 1. No double +0.8834 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1166 3. Double, take +0.8757 -0.0077 Proper cube action: No redouble, take (6.2%) Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Them owns 2-cube 0.7505 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2495 0.0000 0.0000 +0.5011 +0.8834 Standard error 0.0011 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0011 0.0000 0.0000 0.0022 0.0048 Player Us owns 4-cube 0.7533 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2467 0.0000 0.0000 +1.0133 +0.8757 Standard error 0.0011 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0011 0.0000 0.0000 0.0045 0.0053 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 706620929 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Us 72
Them 69 Position ID: AACAY7u7AQAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE Alert: wrong double ( -0.2372)! [very bad]
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.2720 Cubeful equities: 1. No double +0.5659 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.4341 3. Double, take +0.3287 -0.2372 Proper cube action: No redouble, take (35.3%) Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Them owns 2-cube 0.6361 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3639 0.0000 0.0001 +0.2727 +0.5659 Standard error 0.0049 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0049 0.0075 0.0001 0.0098 0.0173 Player Us owns 4-cube 0.6403 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3597 0.0000 0.0000 +0.5625 +0.3287 Standard error 0.0051 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0051 0.0046 0.0001 0.0203 0.0265 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 194 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 706620929 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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