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Donkey Corner #7

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 2 April 2014, at 1:25 p.m.

In Response To: Donkey Corner #7 (Taper_Mike)

Not much in it like you said. I didn't figure there was OtB either and probably didn't take enough time to reflect on what numbers my opponent should be hitting with in both variations. The race is close enough we don't want to piss away racing equity and the guy on the bar is doing nothing (little) vis-à-vis contact equity for us. If we stay on the bar we probably get hit with most if not all aces esp. since our inner board is now blotted we won't be able to return hit and cover. It will also be easier for us to safety that checker next turn if we move it along now.





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 125
7 point match
Crawford
pip: 139
score: 6

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BB--C-aB-BbAb--cAeB-b---:0:0:1:62:6:1:1:7:10
Blue to play 62

1.Rollout118/16 13/7eq: -0.267
Player:
Opponent:
40.07% (G:8.27% B:0.50%)
59.93% (G:5.35% B:0.36%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.271...-0.262) - [100.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 14 seconds
2.Rollout113/5eq: -0.283 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:
39.44% (G:7.85% B:0.61%)
60.56% (G:5.71% B:0.22%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.288...-0.279) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 59 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 7012490
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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