The Donkey Corner #6 - Rollout + Analysis
Posted By: Bob Koca In Response To: The Donkey Corner #6 - Rollout + Analysis (Robert Chow)
Date: Friday, 4 April 2014, at 4:05 p.m.
In Response To: The Donkey Corner #6 - Rollout + Analysis (Robert Chow)
Those win % values assume that the given ELO ratings are accurate in some sense. This looks to be more likely to be true for top players.
A 1500ish player is more likely to be new to the game. The player may be much stronger but just hasn't played enough or may be gaining skill quickly which also makes the player better than rating. Getting good lessons while not playing for a half year might lead to being effectively a few hundred Elo better at the next tourney. Harder for someone who already is a top player to improve that much more.
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