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reference positions can backfire if ...

Posted By: rambiz
Date: Saturday, 5 April 2014, at 12:39 p.m.

In Response To: Cube action? (John O'Hagan)

I was going to say promptly it is a take and an iffy redouble, recalling this position incorrectly:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 107
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 36
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aDAa------------abbbbbb-A:1:-1:-1:D:0:0:3:0:10
White double to 4 take ?

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

It was only a few days ago, this came up.I ran a cubeless RO and I remember blue having %22-something. (I don't have the RO result anymore )
In the position posted by John, the player on roll shoots at the second checker with 20 numbers but the bar-point is not made. I don't know how to quantify the impact of the open bar-point, however 9 shots more appear to push the trailer's chances (from %22) below his take-point.

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