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OTB and RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Sunday, 6 April 2014, at 12:31 p.m.

In Response To: Cube action? (John O'Hagan)

A good recube per the Woolsey rule. It's not at all clear that Black wins 18.5% from here, so send it over and let Black decide. I think most players would pass this (myself included) since the 2nd checker gets hit >75% of the time over the next two rolls. XGR+ took however and the RO confirmed that this is a very close take ATS.

is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 37
5 point match
pip: 114
score: 2

is Player 1
XGID=a-BBBBC---A-A--------aAdA-:1:1:1:00:2:1:0:5:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 80.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 81.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 19.38% (G:1.87% B:0.34%) 18.93% (G:2.51% B:0.48%)
Cubeless Equities +0.576 +0.982
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.892 (-0.090)0.003 (+0.889..+0.896)
Redouble/Take:+0.9820.006 (+0.976..+0.988)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.018)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 4 minutes 03 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

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