OTB and RO
Posted By: John O'Hagan In Response To: Cube action? (John O'Hagan)
Date: Sunday, 6 April 2014, at 12:31 p.m.
In Response To: Cube action? (John O'Hagan)
A good recube per the Woolsey rule. It's not at all clear that Black wins 18.5% from here, so send it over and let Black decide. I think most players would pass this (myself included) since the 2nd checker gets hit >75% of the time over the next two rolls. XGR+ took however and the RO confirmed that this is a very close take ATS.
is Player 2
5 point match pip: 114
is Player 1
XGID=a-BBBBC---A-A--------aAdA-:1:1:1:00:2:1:0:5:10 on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take Player Winning Chances: 80.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 81.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 19.38% (G:1.87% B:0.34%) 18.93% (G:2.51% B:0.48%) Cubeless Equities +0.576 +0.982 Cubeful Equities No redouble: +0.892 (-0.090) ±0.003 (+0.889..+0.896) Redouble/Take: +0.982 ±0.006 (+0.976..+0.988) Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.018) Best Cube action: Redouble / Take Rollout details 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 4 minutes 03 seconds
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2
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