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XG Beaver Eq. Bug?

Posted By: Jeremy Bagai
Date: Tuesday, 8 April 2014, at 6:43 p.m.

No Double equity may vary depending on cube position (owned or centered). But Double Take equity is always the same regardless of where the cube was before the double. I've never seen XG get this wrong.

But here XG gives different Double Beaver equities, depending on initial cube position. I *think* this must be wrong. Am I missing something?

(Ok, the D-B equities are the same at 2-, 3-, 4-ply, but differ at Roller + and ++. Why?)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 156
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 158
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-baB--D-B--AbD---c-da-b-AA:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 53.51% (G:17.91% B:1.40%) 53.52% (G:17.88% B:1.36%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 46.49% (G:15.74% B:0.79%) 46.48% (G:15.47% B:0.76%)
Cubeless Equities +0.098 +0.201
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.147
Double/Beaver:-0.293 (-0.440)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.853)
Best Cube action: No double / Beaver
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 25.4%

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 156
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 158
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-baB--D-B--AbD---c-da-b-AA:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 53.53% (G:17.87% B:1.40%) 53.63% (G:17.88% B:1.36%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 46.47% (G:15.58% B:0.75%) 46.37% (G:15.49% B:0.76%)
Cubeless Equities +0.100 +0.205
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.305
Redouble/Beaver:-0.287 (-0.592)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.695)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Beaver
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 31.5%

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10


.293 does not equal .287.

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