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My Blunder Of The Day ** ROLLOUT**

Posted By: Michael Depreli
Date: Tuesday, 15 April 2014, at 11:03 a.m.

In Response To: My Blunder Of The Day ** ROLLOUT** (Timothy Chow)

Timothy:

What in the world is going on here?! I can't make sense of the ranking of the plays. Do you feel confident that XG 3-ply is playing out the game correctly given that it doesn't play the first move correctly?

OK I'm a lazy **** and didn't bother to scrutinize the roullout despite me already stating XG 3-Ply Normal misplays it.

Here's a slightly stronger rollout and if it's accurate my play is no longer a blunder.

Good to have you back Timothy

Michael





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 101
7 point match
pip: 92
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B-B-DB-C-b---B-aabbbcb---:1:-1:1:44:4:3:0:7:10
Blue to play 44

1.Rollout18/4(2) 6/2 5/1eq: +0.158
Player:
Opponent:		69.77% (G:0.43% B:0.01%)
30.23% (G:1.00% B:0.03%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.155...+0.161) - [88.7%]
Duration: 35 minutes 19 seconds
2.Rollout28/4(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.155 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		69.41% (G:0.54% B:0.00%)
30.59% (G:0.83% B:0.01%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.152...+0.158) - [11.3%]
Duration: 32 minutes 14 seconds
3.Rollout38/4 6/2(2) 5/1eq: +0.130 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		69.03% (G:0.60% B:0.02%)
30.97% (G:1.11% B:0.03%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.125...+0.136) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 30 seconds
4.Rollout38/4 6/2 5/1(2)eq: +0.128 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		69.64% (G:0.59% B:0.02%)
30.36% (G:1.42% B:0.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.123...+0.134) - [0.0%]
Duration: 18 minutes 02 seconds
5.Rollout48/4(2) 5/1(2)eq: +0.123 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		69.25% (G:0.57% B:0.00%)
30.75% (G:1.22% B:0.05%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.118...+0.128) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 58 seconds
6.Rollout58/4(3) 6/2eq: +0.109 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		68.04% (G:0.58% B:0.01%)
31.96% (G:1.34% B:0.04%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.103...+0.116) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 21 seconds
7.Rollout58/4(3) 5/1eq: +0.105 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		67.74% (G:0.66% B:0.01%)
32.26% (G:1.51% B:0.05%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.098...+0.112) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 44 seconds
8.Rollout66/2(2) 5/1(2)eq: +0.089 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		68.19% (G:0.51% B:0.00%)
31.81% (G:1.36% B:0.06%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.082...+0.097) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 35 seconds
9.Rollout78/4 5/1(3)eq: +0.082 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		68.10% (G:0.56% B:0.00%)
31.90% (G:1.40% B:0.05%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.072...+0.092) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 18 seconds
10.Rollout86/2 5/1(3)eq: +0.055 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:		67.35% (G:0.46% B:0.00%)
32.65% (G:1.07% B:0.04%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.045...+0.064) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 30 seconds
11.Rollout95/1(4)eq: -0.046 (-0.204)
Player:
Opponent:		64.27% (G:0.29% B:0.00%)
35.73% (G:1.26% B:0.04%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.061...-0.031) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 43 seconds
1 3834 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
First 6 moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

2 3833 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
First 6 moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

3 1398 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
First 6 moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

4 1397 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
First 6 moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

5 733 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
First 6 moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

6 721 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
First 6 moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

7 629 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
First 6 moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

8 580 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
First 6 moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

9 224 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
First 6 moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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