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Rollout: Which bar? #6

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 19 April 2014, at 12:28 a.m.

In Response To: Which bar? #6 (Timothy Chow)

I reasoned as follows: In a mutual holding game it's usually advantageous to secure the more advanced anchor (unless you're clearly behind in the race). Priming the opponent's advanced anchor is less urgent strategically. Though I think this line of reasoning is generally sound, it doesn't quite apply here because:

1. tactically, making the 18pt gives the opponent too many good rolls;

2. priming increases in value when the opponent has a straggler as well as an advanced anchor;

3. we're not really ahead in the race, so securing the more advanced anchor is less urgent.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 159 Unlimited Game pip: 167 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--bCC-B--AcC---c-c-cB-A-:0:0:1:64:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 64

1.	Rollout1	13/7 11/7	eq: +0.129
	Player: Opponent: 53.88% (G:12.89% B:0.57%) 46.12% (G:12.08% B:0.50%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.114...+0.144) - [100.0%] Duration: 23 minutes 46 seconds
2.	Rollout1	24/18 22/18	eq: +0.083 (-0.046)
	Player: Opponent: 52.66% (G:11.69% B:0.44%) 47.34% (G:13.14% B:0.46%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.069...+0.097) - [0.0%] Duration: 25 minutes 20 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• Which bar? #6
  Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 16 April 2014, at 11:48 p.m.
  • Which bar? #6
    Stick -- Wednesday, 16 April 2014, at 11:52 p.m.
    • Which bar? #6
      neilkaz -- Thursday, 17 April 2014, at 12:58 a.m.
  • Which bar? #6
    John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 17 April 2014, at 2:30 a.m.
  • Which bar? #6
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 17 April 2014, at 12:37 p.m.
    • Which bar? #6
      neilkaz -- Thursday, 17 April 2014, at 3:42 p.m.
  • Which bar? #6
    Robert Chow -- Thursday, 17 April 2014, at 2:32 p.m.
  • Rollout: Which bar? #6
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 19 April 2014, at 12:28 a.m.