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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 21 April 2014, at 7:05 a.m.

In Response To: 4a-5a cube action? (John O'Hagan)

Yes, the trials are few and the variance is still high but you get the idea. Huge pass.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 37
5 point match
pip: 205
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---a--ABBB-AA-------BBaBl-:1:1:1:00:1:0:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 84.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 84.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 15.87% (G:11.29% B:0.15%) 15.58% (G:11.49% B:0.98%)
Cubeless Equities +0.507 +1.687
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.997 (-0.003)±0.026 (+0.972..+1.023)
Redouble/Take:+1.639 (+0.639)±0.080 (+1.559..+1.719)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
108 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 54127804
Moves: XG Roller+, cube decisions: 4-ply
Search interval: Huge
Double Decision confidence:57.7%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 5 hours 48 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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