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Blunder # 4,583 ***ROLLOUT***

Posted By: David Rennie
Date: Saturday, 3 May 2014, at 4:52 p.m.

In Response To: Blunder # 4,583 (David Rennie)

I was glad to see that some of the finest thinkers in backgammon struggled with this a bit. As well as Mishypoo. Over the board I played 18/11 because it was after a long day at work and I was tired and playing too fast. And I'm an awful player. I had ruled out breaking the 20-point like Stick did (although it was the second best move) and if I was playing in a tournament and so really concentrating would probably have come up with 18/13 4/2*, but I was astonished at the actual correct move. Would anyone have really found this over the board? In retrospect it makes sense but in retrospect so does disco. Well, maybe not but you get the point. Thank you all for posting.

		White is uns321 score: 0 pip: 177 5 point match pip: 166 score: 2 Blue is SayLavee
XGID=--a-CcC-B---bBb--bCeB-----:0:0:1:52:2:0:0:5:10
Blue to play 52

1.	Rollout1	18/16 18/13	eq: +0.065
	Player: Opponent: 52.90% (G:13.90% B:1.00%) 47.10% (G:9.49% B:0.35%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.055...+0.075) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 hour 22 minutes
2.	Rollout1	20/13	eq: +0.020 (-0.045)
	Player: Opponent: 52.89% (G:13.37% B:1.00%) 47.11% (G:12.02% B:0.36%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.009...+0.031) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 19 minutes
3.	Rollout1	18/13 4/2*	eq: +0.013 (-0.052)
	Player: Opponent: 51.59% (G:14.01% B:0.92%) 48.41% (G:10.19% B:0.37%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.002...+0.024) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 26 minutes
4.	Rollout1	20/18 20/15	eq: +0.003 (-0.062)
	Player: Opponent: 52.57% (G:12.85% B:0.89%) 47.43% (G:12.20% B:0.40%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.007...+0.014) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 10 minutes
5.	Rollout1	18/11	eq: -0.031 (-0.096)
	Player: Opponent: 50.52% (G:13.84% B:0.87%) 49.48% (G:10.63% B:0.40%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.042...-0.021) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 21 minutes
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• Blunder # 4,583
  David Rennie -- Friday, 2 May 2014, at 7:08 a.m.
  • Blunder # 4,583
    MishyPoo -- Friday, 2 May 2014, at 12:34 p.m.
  • Blunder # 4,583
    Keene -- Friday, 2 May 2014, at 1:45 p.m.
  • Blunder # 4,583
    mochy -- Friday, 2 May 2014, at 3:35 p.m.
  • Blunder # 4,583
    Timothy Chow -- Friday, 2 May 2014, at 3:47 p.m.
  • Blunder # 4,583
    Igor -- Friday, 2 May 2014, at 4:54 p.m.
    • Blunder # 4,583
      Stick -- Friday, 2 May 2014, at 10:02 p.m.
  • Blunder # 4,583
    Stick -- Friday, 2 May 2014, at 10:10 p.m.
    • Blunder # 4,583
      Igor -- Friday, 2 May 2014, at 10:38 p.m.
  • Blunder # 4,583
    Seth -- Saturday, 3 May 2014, at 12:55 a.m.
  • Rollout of variant (at DMP)
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 3 May 2014, at 4:00 p.m.
  • Blunder # 4,583 ***ROLLOUT***
    David Rennie -- Saturday, 3 May 2014, at 4:52 p.m.