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BGonline.org Forums
OLM 20140507A The Prime Factors
Posted By: kruidenbuiltje In Response To: OLM 20140507A The Prime Factors (Jason Lee)
Date: Thursday, 8 May 2014, at 8:18 a.m.
I thought about coming under the gun here: 24/20 5/3, because with our much stronger board they wouldn't dare to blitz.
But on the other hand 24/22 13/9 might do, the risk on distance 7 is limited, we will have strong returns with a 3 and 4 then.
I am only scared for our own 3,4,5- combinations, the chance of throwing this twice is 1/16, about 7%.
However the chance of him throwing a 1,2,3-combination after 24/20 5/3 is 1/4.
So I think coming under the gun doesn't pay off.
Answer: 24/22 13/9.
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