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AtS (2a 5a) Racing Cube

Posted By: Igor
Date: Wednesday, 14 May 2014, at 3:32 p.m.

In Response To: AtS (2a 5a) Racing Cube (Stick)

I would usually assign a rough estimate of about 21-22% for the point of last take. Also, with such close calls I would often get a "second opinion" from, say, Nack58. Blue's position is going to become a typical flat position in a couple of rolls. So, 1 pip of wastage for each of the two checkers on the 1pt and 0.5 pips of wastage for the second checker on the 2pt. On the other hand, white has one extra crossover, so that adds 0.5 pips. All in all, I'd estimate adjusted pip counts as 76 vs. 86. The point of last take is 85 and I'd assign 22% for it since it would actually be between 85 and 86. Now, the race would be even if white had 72 pips, thus 85-72=13 pips are spread over 78-50=28 percent winning chances. So, 86 pips would be about 20% to win -- clear pass for money as well as AtS.

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