
BGonline.org Forums
OLM 20140528A The Prime Factors
Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Thursday, 29 May 2014, at 5:02 a.m.
In Response To: OLM 20140528A The Prime Factors (Jason Lee)
The Dilly Builders vs. The Prime Factors
Click any move to see the position.Game 1 9away, 9away Dilly Builders: 51S54S42P61P33AFCP
Game 2 8away, 9away Prime Factors: 52S64H62U41P21$41UFN42P52CCT41P31P31H32HF22N51SX11n31H52UFRP
Game 3 8away, 7away Prime Factors: 64S61P52U51H44P41A42H51SN55M64HNFN43HFCP
Game 4 7away, 7away Dilly Builders: 63S42H41S61$41H54@55AFN32CF32D55H42E32O61H43U63O53E65S21K63HN52U54RN42XFCP
Game 5 7away, 6away Prime Factors: 63S62X51U44I5321C55PFCP
Game 6 7away, 5away Dilly Builders: 54S55AFN63H4CT43H265OF61E21H32C42P63R32D42S41O33P22J52H32B53S64R61A31N62J44J6441d65I31J61
White is The Dilly Builders
score: 2
pip: 1099 point match pip: 42
score: 4
Blue is The Prime FactorsXGID=ABBCDAdcbBd:1:1:1:61:2:4:0:9:10 Blue to play 61 [blank] = 6/off, 1/off
Rip two off so we win more gammons! Our blotting numbers will be 65, 62, 52, and 33.If we play I = 5/off 5/4 instead, our blotting numbers will be 63 and 53. The aggressive play means that we leave a shot an extra 3 times in 36. The Dillies will hit roughly 30% of them. Call that 1 time in 36. If we assume they win after a hit, which seems reasonable since they have cube access, we are sacrificing 2.8% of the games in order to win a few extra gammons. I am not sure what our gammon price is at this score, but if it were money, we would need an extra 5.6% gammon wins to compensate for the extra losses. At score, we may need a tiny fraction more.
By my seatofthepants guesstimate, it looks like we are getting them.
Mike

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.