The Dilly Builders vs. The Prime Factors
Click any move to see the position.Game 1 9-away, 9-away Dilly Builders: 51S-54S-42P-61P-33A-F-C-P
Game 2 8-away, 9-away Prime Factors: 52S-64H-62U-41P-21$-41U-F-N-42P-52C-C-T-41P-31P-31H-32H-F-22N-51S-X-11n-31H-52U-F-R-P
Game 3 8-away, 7-away Prime Factors: 64S-61P-52U-51H-44P-41A-42H-51S-N-55M-64H-N-F-N-43H-F-C-P
Game 4 7-away, 7-away Dilly Builders: 63S-42H-41S-61$-41H-54@-55A-F-N-32C-F-32D-55H-42E-32O-61H-43U-63O-53E-65S-21K-63H-N-52U-54R-N-42X-F-C-P
Game 5 7-away, 6-away Prime Factors: 63S-62X-51U-44I-53-21C-55P-F-C-P
Game 6 7-away, 5-away Dilly Builders: 54S-55A-F-N-63H-4-C-T-43H-2-65O-F-61E-21H-32C-42P-63R-32D-42S-41O-33P-22J-52H-32B-53S-64R-61A-31N-62J-44J-64-41d-65I-31J-61
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[blank] = 6/off, 1/off
If we play I = 5/off 5/4 instead, our blotting numbers will be 63 and 53. The aggressive play means that we leave a shot an extra 3 times in 36. The Dillies will hit roughly 30% of them. Call that 1 time in 36. If we assume they win after a hit, which seems reasonable since they have cube access, we are sacrificing 2.8% of the games in order to win a few extra gammons. I am not sure what our gammon price is at this score, but if it were money, we would need an extra 5.6% gammon wins to compensate for the extra losses. At score, we may need a tiny fraction more.
By my seat-of-the-pants guesstimate, it looks like we are getting them.
Mike