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one of my big blunders this weekend --- ROLLOUT

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Friday, 30 May 2014, at 1:43 p.m.

In Response To: one of my big blunders this weekend (Petko)





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 138
9 point match
pip: 41
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=---BBBB--a--BB--AA-A--cef-:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 51,04% (G:35,59% B:0,01%) 51,32% (G:36,51% B:0,03%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 48,96% (G:2,78% B:0,06%) 48,68% (G:2,45% B:0,03%)
Cubeless Equities +0,373 +0,741
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0,392±0,002 (+0,391..+0,394)
Redouble/Take:+0,163 (-0,230)±0,004 (+0,159..+0,166)
Redouble/Pass:+1,000 (+0,608)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 21,5%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13579
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Search interval: Huge
Double Decision confidence:100,0%
Take Decision confidence:100,0%
Duration: 16 minutes 27 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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