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BGonline.org Forums
Live Cube TP (Gammonless / Match)
Posted By: Jeremy Bagai In Response To: Live Cube TP (Gammonless / Match) (Timothy Chow)
Date: Thursday, 5 June 2014, at 2:12 a.m.
Taking money play as an example:
Dead Cube TP = 25%. (Assumes no future cube use.)
Live Cube TP = 20%. (Assumes perfect subsequent recubes for both players.)
But what's the actual take point for a given position? Somewhere between the Dead Cube and the Live Cube values. Chuck and John estimate 70% of the way from Dead to Live. But it depends on the position.
And there's always the possibility that the real take point will be even lower than the Live Cube TP -- if the taker will get good recube efficiency but the subsequent taker will not. That's why you can take in the following (famous) position with only 18.75%:
White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 6Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 6
score: 0
Blue is Player 2XGID=------A------------a------:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 81.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 81.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 18.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 18.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Cubeless Equities +0.625 +1.250 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.500 (-0.500) Double/Take: +1.000 Double/Pass: +1.000 Best Cube action: Double / Take eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Blue doubles. If he misses, White has an optimal recube. But when White misses, no more recube equity for Blue.
But this is pretty rare. Almost always, true take point will be between Dead Cube and Live Cube.
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