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BGonline.org Forums
Too Good To Double Confusion
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Too Good To Double Confusion (AP)
Date: Saturday, 7 June 2014, at 11:23 p.m.
Your rule of thumb, which is a poor one to begin with, is only applicable to a normal match score where the gammon value is around .500. Here, since the cube has already been turned, Blue's gammon value is almost 1! On top of that the 3 away player's recube take point is way high, 40%. This means that there's a lot less risk in playing or or losing your cash because his take point is so high to begin with.
Someone else will elaborate I'm sure on the position at hand but it's drink thirty here so I'm out the door.
Stick
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