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RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Wednesday, 11 June 2014, at 11:53 p.m.

In Response To: 21S-66B-31P. 5a-3a cube action? (John O'Hagan)

How aggressive should the trailer be at 5a-3a? I doubled this the other day vs XG and won a lucky gammon. The RO shows the D/ND decision to be TCTC after 5k games. A good reference position for the trailer ATS.

is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 160
5 point match
pip: 143
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-aa---EBC---dCa--bBdb-----:0:0:1:00:0:2:0:5:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 63.22% (G:16.25% B:0.57%) 63.30% (G:16.63% B:0.55%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.78% (G:8.12% B:0.67%) 36.70% (G:8.18% B:0.86%)
Cubeless Equities +0.301 +0.724
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.615±0.006 (+0.608..+0.621)
Double/Take:+0.611 (-0.004)±0.008 (+0.603..+0.618)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.385)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 1.0%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:79.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 58 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

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