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41 to play - ROLLOUTS

Posted By: Keene
Date: Friday, 27 June 2014, at 5:00 a.m.

In Response To: 41 to play (Keene)

The cube. Urgh. lol.

is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 164
5 point match
pip: 157
score: 2

is Player 1
XGID=-bB---D-B---dEa--c-da---B-:0:0:1:00:2:3:0:5:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 51.46% (G:17.67% B:3.53%) 51.63% (G:17.22% B:4.88%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 48.54% (G:13.73% B:1.25%) 48.37% (G:14.80% B:1.37%)
Cubeless Equities +0.097 +0.244
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.3280.015 (+0.313..+0.344)
Double/Take:+0.244 (-0.084)0.018 (+0.227..+0.262)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.672)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.0%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 34068600
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 14 minutes 05 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

So, its a large cheeseburger, not a small one, not quite a whopper though.

is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 158
5 point match
pip: 144
score: 2

is Player 1
XGID=-aBbAaD-C---bC-----dbab-AA:1:-1:1:41:2:3:0:5:10
to play 41

1.Rollout1Bar/21* 6/5* eq: +0.181
Player:
Opponent:
50.05% (G:18.95% B:4.64%)
49.95% (G:20.26% B:4.64%)
Conf.: 0.007 (+0.174...+0.189) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 56 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/21* 24/23eq: +0.082 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:
46.84% (G:15.27% B:2.62%)
53.16% (G:19.75% B:2.95%)
Conf.: 0.007 (+0.076...+0.089) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 51 seconds
3.Rollout1Bar/24 8/4eq: +0.064 (-0.118)
Player:
Opponent:
45.26% (G:16.63% B:2.57%)
54.74% (G:21.94% B:3.51%)
Conf.: 0.006 (+0.057...+0.070) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 13 seconds
4.2-plyBar/21* 8/7eq: -0.030 (-0.212)
Player:
Opponent:
42.03% (G:13.56% B:0.58%)
57.97% (G:22.37% B:1.97%)
5.2-plyBar/21* 2/1* eq: -0.063 (-0.245)
Player:
Opponent:
41.40% (G:11.42% B:0.31%)
58.60% (G:23.24% B:2.26%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 34068600
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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