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41 to play - ROLLOUTS

Posted By: Keene
Date: Friday, 27 June 2014, at 5:00 a.m.

In Response To: 41 to play (Keene)

The cube. Urgh. lol.

	is Player 2 score: 3 pip: 164 5 point match pip: 157 score: 2 is Player 1
XGID=-bB---D-B---dEa--c-da---B-:0:0:1:00:2:3:0:5:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	51.46% (G:17.67% B:3.53%)	51.63% (G:17.22% B:4.88%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	48.54% (G:13.73% B:1.25%)	48.37% (G:14.80% B:1.37%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.097	+0.244
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.328	±0.015 (+0.313..+0.344)
Double/Take:	+0.244 (-0.084)	±0.018 (+0.227..+0.262)
Double/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.672)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.0%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 34068600 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 14 minutes 05 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

So, its a large cheeseburger, not a small one, not quite a whopper though.

	is Player 2 score: 3 pip: 158 5 point match pip: 144 score: 2 is Player 1
XGID=-aBbAaD-C---bC-----dbab-AA:1:-1:1:41:2:3:0:5:10
to play 41

1.	Rollout1	Bar/21* 6/5*	eq: +0.181
	Player: Opponent: 50.05% (G:18.95% B:4.64%) 49.95% (G:20.26% B:4.64%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.174...+0.189) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 56 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/21* 24/23	eq: +0.082 (-0.099)
	Player: Opponent: 46.84% (G:15.27% B:2.62%) 53.16% (G:19.75% B:2.95%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.076...+0.089) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 51 seconds
3.	Rollout1	Bar/24 8/4	eq: +0.064 (-0.118)
	Player: Opponent: 45.26% (G:16.63% B:2.57%) 54.74% (G:21.94% B:3.51%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.057...+0.070) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 13 seconds
4.	2-ply	Bar/21* 8/7	eq: -0.030 (-0.212)
	Player: Opponent: 42.03% (G:13.56% B:0.58%) 57.97% (G:22.37% B:1.97%)
5.	2-ply	Bar/21* 2/1*	eq: -0.063 (-0.245)
	Player: Opponent: 41.40% (G:11.42% B:0.31%) 58.60% (G:23.24% B:2.26%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 34068600 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• 41 to play
  Keene -- Wednesday, 25 June 2014, at 2:50 p.m.
  • 41 to play
    Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 26 June 2014, at 1:50 a.m.
  • 41 to play
    HOMINID -- Thursday, 26 June 2014, at 8:12 a.m.
    • 41 to play
      Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 26 June 2014, at 11:49 a.m.
  • 41 to play
    Wolfgang -- Thursday, 26 June 2014, at 10:58 a.m.
  • 41 to play
    Keene -- Thursday, 26 June 2014, at 9:49 p.m.
  • 41 to play - ROLLOUTS
    Keene -- Friday, 27 June 2014, at 5:00 a.m.
    • Cube Position at alternative Score 4a2a
      Wolfgang -- Friday, 27 June 2014, at 1:47 p.m.