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this should be easy.. - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Friday, 27 June 2014, at 5:07 a.m.

In Response To: this should be easy.. (Keene)

is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 99
5 point match
pip: 98
score: 4

is Player 1
XGID=-a-BBBDbC----B-----bb-ccb-:1:1:1:65:4:1:0:5:10
to play 65

1.Rollout18/3 8/2eq: +0.088
Player:
Opponent:
64.52% (G:13.85% B:0.51%)
35.48% (G:9.63% B:0.36%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.086...+0.091) - [100.0%]
Duration: 44.7 seconds
2.Rollout18/2 6/1* eq: +0.080 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:
63.72% (G:18.56% B:0.50%)
36.28% (G:9.29% B:0.27%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.076...+0.083) - [0.0%]
Duration: 59.1 seconds
3.Rollout213/2eq: -0.178 (-0.266)
Player:
Opponent:
53.34% (G:12.14% B:0.61%)
46.66% (G:11.67% B:0.35%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.183...-0.173) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6.4 seconds
 
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 34068600
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 34068600
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

I dithered on the double slot play for a long time here. Ultimately, the larger number of gammon losses dissuaded me from making it. My opponent rolled a 63, and indeed had some awkwardness to contend with. It didnt matter, as I think it came down to single blot vs single blot anyway, which we both missed, and I bore off quite quickly.

K

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