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DQ: Three reasonable plays *** Rollout **

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Sunday, 13 July 2014, at 7:35 p.m.

In Response To: DQ: Three reasonable plays (leobueno)

XG++ analysis had the three top plays much closer than the rollout indicates.





White is eXtremeGammon

score: 0
pip: 115
Unlimited Game
pip: 81
score: 1

Blue is Leo
XGID=--DACbB-C--Bb-----abcbab--:0:0:1:32:1:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout18/6 4/1eq: +0.557
Player:
Opponent:
67.36% (G:1.58% B:0.01%)
32.64% (G:3.41% B:0.14%)
Conf.: 0.008 (+0.548...+0.565) - [100.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 34 seconds
2.Rollout14/1 3/1eq: +0.498 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:
65.20% (G:1.47% B:0.02%)
34.80% (G:3.48% B:0.09%)
Conf.: 0.006 (+0.493...+0.504) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 42 seconds
3.Rollout18/3eq: +0.493 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:
65.95% (G:1.65% B:0.02%)
34.05% (G:2.91% B:0.07%)
Conf.: 0.006 (+0.486...+0.499) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 01 second
4.3-ply11/9 11/8eq: +0.427 (-0.130)
Player:
Opponent:
62.68% (G:3.49% B:0.11%)
37.32% (G:4.54% B:0.09%)
5.3-ply4/2 4/1eq: +0.398 (-0.159)
Player:
Opponent:
65.15% (G:1.54% B:0.01%)
34.85% (G:4.12% B:0.05%)
6.3-ply6/4 6/3eq: +0.249 (-0.308)
Player:
Opponent:
59.64% (G:1.73% B:0.02%)
40.36% (G:4.31% B:0.03%)
7.2-ply11/6eq: +0.238 (-0.319)
Player:
Opponent:
55.66% (G:4.55% B:0.11%)
44.34% (G:4.94% B:0.10%)
8.2-ply11/8 3/1eq: +0.156 (-0.401)
Player:
Opponent:
52.73% (G:3.89% B:0.08%)
47.27% (G:6.76% B:0.11%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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