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DQ: Consider the bar point? *** Rollout ***
Posted By: leobueno
Date: Friday, 18 July 2014, at 11:23 a.m.
In Response To: DQ: Consider the bar point? *** Rollout *** (Tom Keith)
TK said: "I think the numbers Leo is referring to are the "probability of being best" numbers (shown in square brackets). This number tells you how likely it is that the indicated play will still be on top of you continue the rollout indefinitely."
Right. I am trying to understand the "probability of being best" numbers, especially in the context of the confidence vs. rollout time tradeoff.
So, if XG says after n games rolled out that the probability of a move being right is 100% and the other evaluated moves' probability of being right is 0%, what is gained by rolling the position further (increasing n)?

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