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21\$ 63 oddity

Posted By: David Rockwell
Date: Monday, 4 August 2014, at 12:32 p.m.

In Response To: 21\$ 63 oddity (Bob Koca)

I have not solved that puzzle yet. Your idea of the gammon killing four cube is a candidate. Consider these other rollouts.

 White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 159 4 point match pip: 167 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---eE---b-d--b-B-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:4:10
Blue to play 21

1.Rollout113/11 6/5eq: -0.2324
 Player:Opponent: 46.26% (G:12.56% B:0.92%)53.74% (G:18.74% B:2.75%) Conf.: ±0.0047 (-0.2371...-0.2277) - [100.0%]Duration: 4 hours 32 minutes
2.Rollout124/23 13/11eq: -0.2481 (-0.0157)
 Player:Opponent: 45.85% (G:12.38% B:0.90%)54.15% (G:17.92% B:1.47%) Conf.: ±0.0042 (-0.2523...-0.2439) - [0.0%]Duration: 4 hours 20 minutes
1 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71940290
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

 White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 159 5 point match pip: 167 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---eE---b-d--b-B-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:5:10
Blue to play 21

1.Rollout124/23 13/11eq: -0.2061
 Player:Opponent: 45.96% (G:12.40% B:0.63%)54.04% (G:17.95% B:0.93%) Conf.: ±0.0030 (-0.2092...-0.2031) - [90.0%]Duration: 3 hours 42 minutes
2.Rollout113/11 6/5eq: -0.2091 (-0.0030)
 Player:Opponent: 46.33% (G:12.58% B:0.66%)53.67% (G:18.67% B:1.67%) Conf.: ±0.0034 (-0.2125...-0.2057) - [10.0%]Duration: 4 hours 00 minute
1 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 8281536
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

• 21\$ 63 oddity
Bob Koca -- Monday, 4 August 2014, at 2:44 a.m.
• 21\$ 63 oddity
David Rockwell -- Monday, 4 August 2014, at 3:37 a.m.
• 21\$ 63 oddity
Bob Koca -- Monday, 4 August 2014, at 4:53 a.m.
• 21\$ 63 oddity
Dmitriy Obukhov -- Monday, 4 August 2014, at 5:59 a.m.
• 21\$ 63 oddity
David Rockwell -- Monday, 4 August 2014, at 12:32 p.m.
• 21\$ 63 oddity
Bob Koca -- Monday, 4 August 2014, at 12:23 p.m.

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