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For money

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 13 August 2014, at 10:42 p.m.

In Response To: Prime vs. prime: How good is XG? (neilkaz)

Yeah, XGR++ is somewhat off in this position and the match score makes the error come out worse.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 155
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 121
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=abBBBBBA----bBb----bbb-bB-:1:1:1:D:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 69.606% (G:34.381% B:4.472%) 70.039% (G:34.677% B:4.483%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.394% (G:5.945% B:0.345%) 29.961% (G:6.013% B:0.374%)
Cubeless Equities +0.7178 +1.4570
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.9457 (-0.0543)
Redouble/Take:+1.2413 (+0.2413)
Redouble/Pass:+1.0000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 155
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 121
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=abBBBBBA----bBb----bbb-bB-:1:1:1:D:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 69.265% (G:34.152% B:4.292%) 69.026% (G:34.343% B:4.676%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.735% (G:5.878% B:0.330%) 30.974% (G:6.271% B:0.402%)
Cubeless Equities +0.7077 +1.4080
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.8971 (-0.1029)±0.0081 (+0.8890..+0.9052)
Redouble/Take:+1.1453 (+0.1453)±0.0147 (+1.1306..+1.1600)
Redouble/Pass:+1.0000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 78623594
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 6 minutes 29 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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