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OLM 20140817A The Dilly Builders

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Monday, 18 August 2014, at 12:04 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 20140817A The Dilly Builders (Jason Lee)

Looks like a poorly timed deuce point game, although there's a bit of daylight in that the PF's have to get their four stragglers around without being hit. The thing is, even if we get a shot (likely) and hit it (somewhat likely) we still have to contain it and extricate our own runners, which is not very likely. What's our takepoint AtS?

TW is 5a 11a or 80%
TL is 7a 9a or 61%
Pass is 7a 10a or 66%

We risk 5 to gain 14 so our raw takepoint is 5/(5+14) = 5/21 ~= 25%

I'll say pass. I'd give it a try at a deeper takepoint.

Pass.

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