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Result

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Thursday, 21 August 2014, at 1:08 a.m.

In Response To: Result (Michael Nielsen)

My rollout is entirely inconclusive as to whether XGR+ is correct in not immediately doubling 13/10 13/8.. It doesn't look like it will make much difference, this time.





White is Player 1

score: 2
pip: 154
5 point match
pip: 126
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-----BC-CbA-bC-Bad-c--cA--:0:0:-1:00:2:0:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 61.107% (G:20.004% B:0.319%) 61.313% (G:19.814% B:0.323%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 38.893% (G:8.242% B:0.688%) 38.687% (G:8.102% B:0.763%)
Cubeless Equities +0.2849 +0.7316
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.6000 (-0.0004)±0.0079 (+0.5921..+0.6079)
Double/Take:+0.6004±0.0093 (+0.5911..+0.6097)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.3996)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71284
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:52.5%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 39 minutes 12 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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