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Rollout and comment

Posted By: Ian Dunstan
Date: Thursday, 21 August 2014, at 7:10 a.m.

In Response To: Hit or no hit? (Ian Dunstan)

		White is XG Roller+ score: 0 pip: 177 Unlimited Game pip: 150 score: 0 Blue is ian dunstan
XGID=-a--BcCBC-a-bB---c-dCa----:0:0:1:53:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 53

1.	Rollout1	20/15 13/10*	eq: +0.574
	Player: Opponent: 62.28% (G:21.70% B:1.13%) 37.72% (G:7.45% B:0.28%) Conf.: ± 0.024 (+0.551...+0.598) - [99.9%] Duration: 20 minutes 54 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/10* 6/1*	eq: +0.512 (-0.062)
	Player: Opponent: 60.55% (G:22.53% B:0.72%) 39.45% (G:8.14% B:0.30%) Conf.: ± 0.023 (+0.489...+0.535) - [0.0%] Duration: 18 minutes 10 seconds
3.	Rollout2	8/3 6/3	eq: +0.502 (-0.072)
	Player: Opponent: 62.44% (G:16.24% B:0.66%) 37.56% (G:7.31% B:0.33%) Conf.: ± 0.039 (+0.463...+0.541) - [0.1%] Duration: 6 minutes 32 seconds
4.	Rollout2	13/8 13/10*	eq: +0.474 (-0.100)
	Player: Opponent: 60.46% (G:20.24% B:0.84%) 39.54% (G:7.44% B:0.25%) Conf.: ± 0.042 (+0.433...+0.516) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 11 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 69400038 First 4 moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller Remaining moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Search interval: Large 2 360 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 69400038 First 4 moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller Remaining moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Search interval: Large

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Being so far up in the race I ignored the hit and played the standard 8/3 6/3. It's the wrong idea and I think Robert's analysis is very good for the right play.

Note that the rollout settings are not that strong, however they agree with both evaluations and truncated rollouts, I think they are ok.

Messages In This Thread

• Hit or no hit?
  Ian Dunstan -- Wednesday, 20 August 2014, at 11:56 a.m.
  • Hit or no hit?
    Adam Torkelson -- Wednesday, 20 August 2014, at 4:15 p.m.
  • Hit or no hit?
    Keene -- Wednesday, 20 August 2014, at 4:26 p.m.
  • Hit or no hit?
    Robert Chow -- Wednesday, 20 August 2014, at 4:27 p.m.
  • Hit or no hit?
    David Rennie -- Wednesday, 20 August 2014, at 5:02 p.m.
  • Hit or no hit?
    Tom Keith -- Wednesday, 20 August 2014, at 5:54 p.m.
  • Rollout and comment
    Ian Dunstan -- Thursday, 21 August 2014, at 7:10 a.m.
    • Rollout and comment
      Sam Pottle -- Friday, 22 August 2014, at 5:32 a.m.
      • Rollout and comment
        Ian Dunstan -- Friday, 22 August 2014, at 11:54 p.m.
        • Rollout and comment
          Sam Pottle -- Saturday, 23 August 2014, at 12:50 p.m.
          • TMP
            Tom Keith -- Saturday, 23 August 2014, at 1:48 p.m.
            • TMP
              Ian Dunstan -- Sunday, 24 August 2014, at 1:31 a.m.