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Rollout

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Friday, 22 August 2014, at 6:10 p.m.

In Response To: 42P-63? at 3 Away v 4 Away (Neil Robins)

The unusual initial cube settings are needed to pick up that it is indeed an immediate cube after splitting.

White is XG Roller++ score: 3 pip: 161 7 point match pip: 167 score: 4 Blue is Neil XGID=-b----E-C---eE---b-d-b--B-:0:0:1:63:4:3:0:7:10 Blue to play 63

1. Rollout1 24/15 eq: -0.554 Player: Opponent: 43.48% (G:10.43% B:1.00%) 56.52% (G:19.50% B:1.30%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.560...-0.549) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 hour 36 minutes 2. Rollout1 24/18 13/10 eq: -0.571 (-0.017) Player: Opponent: 43.08% (G:12.17% B:1.89%) 56.92% (G:20.83% B:2.35%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.578...-0.563) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 48 minutes 1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 71284 First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: 2-ply Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

White is Neil score: 4 pip: 158 7 point match pip: 161 score: 3 Blue is XG Roller++ XGID=-b----E-C-A-eD---bAd-b--A-:0:0:-1:00:4:3:0:7:10 Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 56.56% (G:20.59% B:1.52%) 56.85% (G:20.81% B:2.14%) Opponent Winning Chances: 43.44% (G:11.79% B:1.14%) 43.15% (G:12.08% B:1.87%) Cubeless Equities +0.172 +0.784 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.536 (-0.030) ±0.009 (+0.527..+0.545) Double/Take: +0.565 ±0.012 (+0.553..+0.578) Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.435) Best Cube action: Double / Take Rollout details 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 71284 First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+ Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 1 hour 08 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• 42P-63? at 3 Away v 4 Away
  Neil Robins -- Thursday, 21 August 2014, at 5:03 a.m.
  • 42P-63? at 3 Away v 4 Away
    Dmitriy Obukhov -- Thursday, 21 August 2014, at 7:10 a.m.
    • 42P-63? at 3 Away v 4 Away
      Neil Robins -- Thursday, 21 August 2014, at 8:27 a.m.
      • 42P-63? at 3 Away v 4 Away
        David Rockwell -- Thursday, 21 August 2014, at 3:22 p.m.
  • 42P-63? at 3 Away v 4 Away
    hominid -- Thursday, 21 August 2014, at 9:17 a.m.
    • 42P-63? at 3 Away v 4 Away
      Ian Dunstan -- Thursday, 21 August 2014, at 9:41 a.m.
  • 42P-63? at 3 Away v 4 Away
    David Rennie -- Thursday, 21 August 2014, at 3:45 p.m.
    • 42P-63? at 3 Away v 4 Away
      Keene -- Thursday, 21 August 2014, at 4:15 p.m.
      • 42P-63? at 3 Away v 4 Away
        David Rennie -- Thursday, 21 August 2014, at 4:24 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Neil Robins -- Friday, 22 August 2014, at 6:10 p.m.